041
FXUS64 KOHX 171712
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1212 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1119 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Showers continue to lift through Middle Tennessee this morning.
Showers are expected to become less numerous this afternoon
through the overnight hours. Patchy fog and low clouds will
develop overnight along with a couple scattered showers as the
trough axis remains to the west of the area. The trough axis will
slowly move eastward on Saturday with additional shower activity
possible and a couple of storms. The highest rain chances will be
along the plateau with lower chances the farther west you go.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1119 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Some patchy fog will be possible again Saturday night, otherwise
Saturday night should be mainly dry. A couple of showers can`t be
ruled out on Sunday along the plateau but elongated upper ridging
will build in from the west with temperatures rebounding into the
80s. Monday and Tuesday continue to look warm with highs getting
into the upper 80s and potentially touching 90 degrees. Models
have slowed down rain chances from Tuesday night/Wednesday to
Wednesday night/Thursday. This means Wednesday will be another
warm day with temperatures in the 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Flight categories will continue to vary greatly through the
current TAF period as VCSH moves through the area. More widespread
low cigs are expected overnight, likely lowering all TAF sites to
at least MVFR if not lower after 06Z. Periods of fog will likely
develop overnight as well, slowly clearing around to after 13Z. Light
winds continue, remaining at or below 5 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      63  80  63  86 /  30  60  20  10
Clarksville    61  79  62  85 /  20  40  10   0
Crossville     59  73  58  79 /  60  70  50  30
Columbia       61  79  61  85 /  30  70  30  10
Cookeville     61  75  60  80 /  50  70  50  20
Jamestown      58  74  58  80 /  60  70  50  20
Lawrenceburg   63  78  62  84 /  30  70  30  10
Murfreesboro   62  79  62  85 /  30  70  20  10
Waverly        61  79  61  85 /  20  50  10  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Adcock