387
FXUS64 KOHX 171645
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1145 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1119 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Showers continue to lift through Middle Tennessee this morning.
Showers are expected to become less numerous this afternoon
through the overnight hours. Patchy fog and low clouds will
develop overnight along with a couple scattered showers as the
trough axis remains to the west of the area. The trough axis will
slowly move eastward on Saturday with additional shower activity
possible and a couple of storms. The highest rain chances will be
along the plateau with lower chances the farther west you go.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1119 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Some patchy fog will be possible again Saturday night, otherwise
Saturday night should be mainly dry. A couple of showers can`t be
ruled out on Sunday along the plateau but elongated upper ridging
will build in from the west with temperatures rebounding into the
80s. Monday and Tuesday continue to look warm with highs getting
into the upper 80s and potentially touching 90 degrees. Models
have slowed down rain chances from Tuesday night/Wednesday to
Wednesday night/Thursday. This means Wednesday will be another
warm day with temperatures in the 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 540 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Rain will continue to overspread airports this morning into the
afternoon, with current VFR cigs/vis lowering to MVFR later this
morning and IFR/LIFR at CSV/SRB tonight. TS is possible at
airports but too unlikely to mention in TAFs. Light and variable
winds are expected this TAF period, but generally southeast at 5
knots or less.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      74  63  80  63 /  90  30  60  20
Clarksville    73  61  79  62 /  90  20  40  10
Crossville     69  59  73  58 /  90  60  70  50
Columbia       73  61  79  61 /  90  30  70  30
Cookeville     71  61  75  60 /  90  50  70  50
Jamestown      71  58  74  58 /  90  60  70  50
Lawrenceburg   72  63  78  62 /  90  30  70  30
Murfreesboro   74  62  79  62 /  90  30  70  20
Waverly        74  61  79  61 /  90  20  50  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Shamburger