549
FXUS64 KOHX 171042
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
542 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 133 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

An approaching shortwave is stirring up showers and storms to our
west this morning. These will continue to push east today. Some
places will see light rain before sunrise, but the better chance
of precip will be during the daylight hours, especially this
afternoon. Expect scattered storms throughout the day, but with
little instability in place, they should remain benign. The
widespread cloud cover will help keep temperatures several degrees
cooler this afternoon.

Some showers may linger into the overnight hours tonight over the
Cumberland Plateau, but we should see a decent break in the early
morning hours on Saturday. Showers and storms will develop again
on Saturday after sunrise as the upper wave passes directly
overhead. There could be a touch more instability around on
Saturday afternoon, but shear is still lacking. If we see any
storms strengthen enough to produce gusty winds, they would likely
be over southeastern Middle TN. Right now it`s not a big concern.
This activity will finally push east Saturday night.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 133 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Ridging quickly builds in behind Saturday`s system and we`ll see
warming temperatures and plenty of sunshine Sunday through
Tuesday. Expect highs well into the 80s each afternoon west of
the Plateau. The next chance of showers and storms will come with
an approaching front midweek next week...with a focus on Wednesday
to Thursday timeframe.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 540 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Rain will continue to overspread airports this morning into the
afternoon, with current VFR cigs/vis lowering to MVFR later this
morning and IFR/LIFR at CSV/SRB tonight. TS is possible at
airports but too unlikely to mention in TAFs. Light and variable
winds are expected this TAF period, but generally southeast at 5
knots or less.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      74  63  78  63 /  80  60  60  30
Clarksville    73  60  77  62 /  90  60  50  20
Crossville     70  59  73  59 /  80  70  70  50
Columbia       73  62  78  62 /  80  50  60  30
Cookeville     71  61  74  60 /  80  70  70  40
Jamestown      72  59  73  58 /  80  80  70  50
Lawrenceburg   72  63  78  62 /  80  50  60  30
Murfreesboro   74  62  78  61 /  80  60  60  30
Waverly        73  61  77  62 /  90  50  50  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Whitehead
LONG TERM....Whitehead
AVIATION.....Shamburger