642
FXUS65 KLKN 150926
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
226 AM PDT Wed May 15 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Warm and dry across the region through the end of the
work weak, with breezy westerly winds Friday afternoon. Increasing
clouds across central NV on Saturday with a 10% chance of showers
and thunderstorms.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Thursday night. High pressure
approaching from the west results in warm and dry conditions
across the CWA through the short-term period. Winds will be
northerly this afternoon, at 10-15mph gusting 20mph across
northern NV, and 15-20mph gusting to 30mph across central NV.
Temperatures will be around 5 degrees above normal today, and
around 10 degrees above normal on Thursday.

.LONG TERM...Friday through next Tuesday.

The upper ridge will flatten on Friday in response to trough
energy across southwestern Canada. Look for west to northwest
breezy to windy conditions Friday afternoon with some gusts to 50
mph. No precipitation is expected at this time though afternoon
highs will cool a few degrees, rising to the 70s to low 80s. Quiet
weather will continue into the overnight with lows in the 40s.

On Saturday, models are showing the region sitting under a
deformation axis. Light shower activity is possible mainly in
central Nevada though accumulations are expected to be light.
Winds will be breezy with highs in the 70s and 80s. Look for
another quiet night Saturday with lows in the 40s.

Sunday through Tuesday shows several weak impulses in the flow
moving across the western United States. When it come to
precipitation, models have not been bullish on developing showers
across the area, as chances remain in the 10 to 25 percent range
for the start of the work week. Temperatures begin the week near
normal and are expected to remain so by mid-week. Overnight lows
during this period will range in the 30s and 40s. Winds will be
breezy to locally windy out of the northwest. Speeds in the
afternoon will be 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 to 40 mph.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.
Light winds will be present across northern Nevada terminals KWMC,
KBAM, and KEKO. Northerly afternoon breezes at central Nevada
terminals KTPH and KELY are expected with gusts 20-25KTS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Warm temperatures this week will enhance melting of
the remaining mountain snowpack, with increased flows expected on
many area creeks and rivers including Lamoille Creek and the
Bruneau River. Though stream gage heights are not at bankfull
stage, these streams are flowing fast and cold.

The Humboldt River at Comus is currently in action stage, but
expected to drop below action stage later today or on Thursday.

The Owyhee River at Mountain City has just recently reached action
stage, and is expected to slowly rise with the continued above
normal temperatures this week.

The Jarbidge River near Jarbidge has just recently reached action
stage, and is expected to slowly rise with the continued above
normal temperatures this week.


&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...None.

&&

$$

96/86/92