121
FXUS65 KLKN 060928
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
228 AM PDT Mon May 6 2024

.SYNOPSIS...An upper-level disturbance will bring another round of
precipitation and gusty winds along with isolated thunderstorms
across northern Nevada Monday afternoon. Lingering showers will
diminishing Tuesday with warm and dry conditions moving into the
region for the latter part of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday night

Snow showers are expected to taper off this morning for portions
of Elko County and elevations above 6500 feet. After a brief break
of dry weather, an upper-level disturbance and cold front
approaches from the northwest Monday afternoon. This will bring
another round of valley rain and mountain snow showers with
isolated thunderstorms mainly across northern NV. 1 to 3 inches of
snow are expected in the high mountain areas of Northern Elko
County and the Ruby Mountains/E. Humboldt Range. Dry conditions
prevail across central NV for much of the day. Winds will increase
out of the west to 10-15 mph with gusts to 20-30 mph.

Showers will linger for part of the day Tuesday as a broad long-
wave trough encompasses over much of the western U.S. and northern
plains. A northwest flow over the rest of the CWA bring quite and
dry conditions under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. Daytime
high temperatures reside in the low 50s to low 60s with overnight
lows in the low 20s to low 30s. Winds will be breezy to locally
windy each afternoon with gusts of 20 to 30 mph in the windier
locales.

.LONG TERM...Wednesday through next Monday

Generally quiet weather thru much of the period as a ridge of
high pressure influences the region mid to late next week. That
said, guidance continues to advertise a cut off low forming
somewhere across the southwest U.S. as upper energy moves across
Montana and south. This brings a low probability for afternoon
rain showers and thunderstorms across portions of the forecast
area beginning late this week and each day thru the weekend.
Temperatures expected to warm the latter half of the week and thru
the weekend with daytime highs reaching into the low 80s for some
locales by Sunday. Afternoon winds remain breezy.

&&

.AVIATION...VCSH present Monday morning at KEKO with the bulk of
the showers remaining north of the terminal. Otherwise, VFR
conditions are expected with CIGs at 5KFT AGL and higher. Cold
front begins moving into northern Nevada Monday night before
midnight and VCSH is forecast at northern terminals KWMC, KBAM,
and KEKO beginning around 05Z Tuesday. -SHRA and -SHSN expected at
northern terminals beginning around midnight. Central Nevada
terminals KTPH and KELY are expected to remain dry. Breezy winds
Monday and Monday night with W-NW gusts 20-25 knots or higher at
all terminals.

KWMC remains AMD NOT SKED due to communication issue.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams, creeks,
and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to seasonal
snow melt. Modest increases have been noted in faster responding
creeks and streams due to recent rainfall and snowfall. Increased
flows may additionally be noted on other streams and rivers over
the next several days. However, cool temperatures through the first
half of the week will continue to help mitigate high elevation
snow melt and subsequent runoff.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and
is forecast remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Humboldt River at Comus resides in minor flood stage and is
forecast to remain in minor flood stage for the next few days
while gradually decreasing. The river is forecast to fall into
action stage mid week.

Wildhorse Dam currently resides in action stage and is forecast
to remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Owyhee River near Mountain City resides near action stage.
The river is forecast to continue to range in and out of action
stage for the next several days.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

Winter Weather Advisory until 8 AM PDT this morning ABOVE 6500
FEET in Northern Elko County.

Winter Weather Advisory until 8 AM PDT this morning Ruby
Mountains and East Humboldt Range.

&&

$$

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