Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
013
FNAK52 PAFG 181008
FWFWCZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks, AK
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Key Messages...
- Remaining wet, but temperatures gradually warm into the 60s this
weekend before cooling again by the start of next week.
- It is trending drier overall on Saturday but RHs remain high
(50% to 60%+). Wetting rain potential increases on Sunday with
chances continuing through next week.
- Slight warming trend expected across northern portions of the
Western Interior throughout the weekend. Warmest temperatures
expected in the Upper Kobuk Valley.
AKZ913-190415-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including the city of Walker Lake
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (80%) Mcldy (70%) Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 60 50
CWR 30 30 30
CWR25 10 10 10
Chance of Thunder (%) Iso (20) Iso (20) Iso (20)
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+6) 45 (0) 66
RH % (24h trend) 57 (-14) 91 (+1) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 4-8 SE 4-8 E 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 E 3-7 SE 8-12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4100 300 4300
Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 E 7 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36900 2100 51600
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs around 60. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
AKZ914-190415-
Noatak Valley-
Including the cities of Noatak and Red Dog Mine
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (90%) Mcldy (70%) Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Showers Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 70 60
CWR 40 30 30
CWR25 10 0 10
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0) None (0) Iso (20)
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+4) 47 (0) 65
RH % (24h trend) 58 (-8) 92 (+8) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 SE 6-10 E 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 7-11 G17 E 4-8 SE 8-12 G19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4300 300 4100
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 13 E 8 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55900 2400 53300
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s. East
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs around 60. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
AKZ916-190415-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including the cities of Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (80%) Mcldy (70%) Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 60 50
CWR 10 20 20
CWR25 0 10 10
Chance of Thunder (%) Iso (20) Iso (20) Iso (20)
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+8) 50 (+1) 67
RH % (24h trend) 58 (-18) 96 (-2) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 5-9 SE 5-9 E 7-11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 9-13 G18 E 5-9 SE 11-15 G20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4800 400 4300
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 13 E 9 SE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 3600 64500
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
East winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
AKZ919-190415-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including the cities of Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (70%) Mcldy (80%) Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 50
CWR 10 20 20
CWR25 0 10 0
Chance of Thunder (%) Iso (20) Iso (20) Iso (20)
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+8) 45 (0) 71
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-18) 96 (-2) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 4-8 G18 SE 4-8 E 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6-10 G17 E 4-8 SE 8-12 G20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4800 400 4300
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 E 8 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48000 3200 60200
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
AKZ923-190415-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including the cities of Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (80%) Mcldy (80%) Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 90
CWR 50 50 60
CWR25 10 10 10
Chance of Thunder (%) Iso (20) Iso (20) None (0)
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+7) 39 (-2) 63
RH % (24h trend) 61 (-6) 99 (+1) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 SE 5-9 E 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 E 3-7 SE 8-12 G21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3600 400 3700
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 E 8 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36000 3200 51800
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Rain showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
East winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper
50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper
50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
AKZ926-190415-
Lower Yukon River-
Including the cities of Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station,
and Marshall
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (90%) Cloudy (100%)Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 100
CWR 10 50 40
CWR25 0 10 10
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0) None (0) None (0)
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+2) 44 (0) 61
RH % (24h trend) 64 (-8) 95 (-1) 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4-8 E 10-14 G23 E 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 11-15 G21 E 11-15 G24 SE 11-15 G24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3200 900 3200
Transport Wnd (mph) E 12 E 16 SE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38400 14400 51200
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
South winds around 10 mph.
$$
AKZ928-190415-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including the cities of Huslia and Hughes
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (80%) Mcldy (80%) Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 50 60 60
CWR 20 30 20
CWR25 0 10 0
Chance of Thunder (%) Iso (20) Iso (20) None (0)
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+8) 46 (+1) 68
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-18) 91 (-1) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 4-8 G17 SE 4-8 SE 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6-10 G17 SE 3-7 SE 8-12 G20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4600 400 4700
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 7 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46000 2800 61100
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
AKZ929-190415-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including the cities of Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (80%) Mcldy (90%) Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 60 70 80
CWR 20 40 20
CWR25 0 10 0
Chance of Thunder (%) Iso (20) Iso (20) None (0)
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+7) 43 (-2) 67
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-15) 94 (+1) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 4-8 SE 5-9 G17 SE 5-9 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 G17 SE 3-7 SE 7-11 G25
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4100 500 3800
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 SE 8 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41000 4000 49400
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
AKZ930-190415-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including the cities of Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (90%) Cloudy (100%)Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 60 80 100
CWR 20 50 60
CWR25 0 10 10
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0) None (0) None (0)
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+6) 43 (-1) 63
RH % (24h trend) 58 (-16) 96 (+2) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 4-8 SE 7-11 G19 E 8-12 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 7-11 G20 E 6-10 G20 SE 10-14 G24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3700 600 3800
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 E 13 SE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44400 7800 57000
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs around 60. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
AKZ951-190415-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including the city of Farewell Lake
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (90%) Cloudy (100%)Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 80
CWR 20 30 60
CWR25 0 10 10
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0) None (0) None (0)
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+8) 40 (0) 65
RH % (24h trend) 48 (-18) 83 (-5) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 3-7 G20 SE 8-12 G32 SE 9-13 G34
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 7-11 G26 SE 9-13 G35 SE 8-12 G31
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4100 400 2800
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 14 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41000 5600 39200
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
AKZ952-190415-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including the cities of McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
208 AM AKDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy (90%) Cloudy (100%)Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 90 90
CWR 20 40 30
CWR25 0 10 10
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0) None (0) None (0)
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+7) 42 (0) 65
RH % (24h trend) 50 (-17) 92 (-3) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SE 5-9 G20 E 4-8 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 G20 E 4-8 G18 E 6-10 G20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4100 500 2900
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 E 10 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32800 5000 34800
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
Twombly