Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
015 FLUS44 KTSA 120929 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 429 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-130930- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 429 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast Oklahoma. ONSET...This Afternoon. FIRE WEATHER DANGER. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast Oklahoma, mainly along and west of U.S. 75 and south of highway 412. ONSET...This Afternoon. DISCUSSION... Southerly winds gusting to 15 to 30 mph are expected this afternoon across northeast Oklahoma. These winds combined with developing drought conditions will increase grassland fire weather concerns this afternoon. Areas of greatest concern will be along and west of U.S. 75 and south of highway 412 where afternoon humidity values will fall into the 25 to 30 percent range. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...No Hazards. FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... A low chance of showers will occur late tonight into Monday afternoon as a frontal boundary approaches the region and a disturbance moves around the periphery of a strong ridge of high pressure centered just to our east. The greatest chance of measurable rainfall will remain north of Interstate 44 in northeast Oklahoma. Dry and warm conditions will prevail through Thursday before shower and storm chances return late in the week into next weekend as another storm system moves into the Plains states. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$