378
FNUS74 KTSA 021445
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Visitor Center Burn...Arkansas State Parks
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
945 AM CDT Sat May 2 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny skies and below normal afternoon temperatures are
expected today, along with northwesterly winds with 20-foot gusts
from 10 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidities from 35 to 40
percent will occur this afternoon. Winds will shift to the south
and southwest tomorrow with 20-foot gusts from 15 to 20 mph in the
afternoon. Temperatures will reach more seasonable levels tomorrow
afternoon and increasing low level moisture will lead to minimum
relative humidities only around 45 percent.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Dewpoint............40.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (106229 knot-ft).
Stability class.....2.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).60.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  11  8   8   7   8   13  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  59  61  63  64  65  65  66
Dewpoint........42  41  41  40  40  39  39  39
RH..............58  52  47  44  41  38  38  37
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  11  12  13  13  13  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 5.4 6.5 7.2 7.4 7.3 6.9 6.7
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  17  18  20  20  18  17  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..106 106 106 129 129 129 129 129
Ventrate Cat....VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
1700FT Mix T(F).57  58  59  61  62  63  63  63

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Dewpoint............38.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 6 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 14 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 5 mph late in the evening, then shifting
                    to the southeast 5 to 7 mph overnight shifting
                    to the south 7 to 9 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (129180 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3934 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).61.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   11  4   6   4   4   1   0   3   2   2   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  63  60  55  52  50  49  46  46  44  44  44
Dewpoint........38  39  39  39  40  39  38  38  37  36  37  36
RH..............38  41  46  55  63  66  66  73  71  73  76  73
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  7   6   5   4   4   5   6   6   6   7
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   NE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  9   7   7   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..129 8   8   8   8   8   8   4   4   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....VGD PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).62  62  62  61  61  61  60  60  60  60  61  62

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Dewpoint............38 increasing to 53.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to around 17 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph increasing to southwest 20
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3934 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (90491 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).66 increasing to 74 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   9   3   2   1   1   2   2   3   4   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............43  45  49  55  62  67  71  73  75  76  76  76
Dewpoint........36  37  40  43  46  48  50  51  52  53  53  54
RH..............76  73  71  64  56  50  47  46  45  45  45  46
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   4   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  11  13  14  16  17  17  17  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.0 3.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  13  15  20  24  25  24  23  23  24  23  20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   69  69  69  69  69  69  90  90  90  90  90
Ventrate Cat....PR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD
1700FT Mix T(F).63  64  63  62  62  64  67  70  72  75  76  77

$$
Forecaster...K.HATFIELD
Requested by...David Armstrong
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612507.0/TSA
.DELDT 05/02/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.armstrong@arkansas.gov