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FNUS73 KTOP 230916
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST for Quail Road Fire...Marshall County Emergency Management
National Weather Service Topeka KS
416 AM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 CDT on March 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A cooler and much less breezy day is expected today. A batch of
elevated very light showers may move toward the burn area in the
late morning, but it is unlikely any precipitation would make it
to the ground. Virga could cause some gusts as it passes.

Northeast winds slowly become southeast through the day, and could
gust around 15 mph by late afternoon. RH values drop to around 25%
in the mid afternoon.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Temperature.........Max 53.
RH..................Min 22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph early in
                    the morning, then shifting to the southeast 8
                    to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (43300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............33  33  33  34  38  41  44  47  49  51  52  53
RH..............71  66  66  64  54  46  40  32  29  27  26  23
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.5   9   9   12  13  14  14  14  14  14  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7
SDspl kt-ft/10005   4   7   14  18  20  21  24  29  35  37  43

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Temperature.........Min 38.
RH..................Max 59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (6100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............53  51  50  47  45  45  43  43  43  42  40  40
RH..............22  24  25  28  33  35  38  41  41  45  48  50
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  16  15  15  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.2 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
SDspl kt-ft/100042  37  10  7   9   10  8   12  8   7   7   6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (51700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............39  38  40  43  48  54  59  64  67  69  70  70
RH..............52  59  55  51  46  38  32  28  26  24  24  25
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.14  14  15  16  16  16  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.7 4.2 4.3 3.9
SDspl kt-ft/10006   7   10  17  26  30  31  31  37  45  52  50

$$
Forecaster...Craven
Requested by...Sara Naaf
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2607041.3/TOP
.DELDT 03/23/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL snaaf@mscoks.org,bschwindamann@mscoks.org