899
FXUS62 KTBW 091828
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
128 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 126 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

Ridging along the east coast of the US will continue through our
weekend. This will result in temperatures warmer then average in the
upper 80`s each afternoon. The strong easterly flow will also cause
a few sprinkles across the area both Saturday and Sunday.

On Monday a weak tropical wave will push over the state. This will
result in increased moisture and humidity for our Veterans Day. This
will also result in some isolated showers across the interior along
the strong easterly flow. The wave will be past us by Tuesday as
weak cold front start to approach the area. This front will push
through early on Wednesday. It will be a weaker front but still the
first one we have seen in a few weeks across the state. This will
dry us out and cool us down. High look to stick around 80 degrees
for the end of the week with lows around 60 degrees.
&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 126 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

VFR conditions expected through the period with wind generally out
of the east.


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 126 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

Winds will remain mainly out of the east and northeast
through the period and generally stay at or below 15 knots. A weak
cold front will push through early on Wednesday morning which will
increase those easterly wind to 15 to 20 knots. Those breezy winds
will continue through Thursday.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 126 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

Easterly flow will continue with humidity staying well above
critical levels. A weak cold front will push through early on
Wednesday which will drop RHs down to the mid 50`s but we will not
see any major fire weather concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  72  87  72  87 /  10   0   0  20
FMY  71  87  73  88 /  10  10  10  30
GIF  71  87  72  88 /  10  10  10  30
SRQ  70  88  70  87 /  10   0   0  20
BKV  68  87  67  88 /  10   0   0  20
SPG  74  86  74  86 /  10   0   0  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM EST this evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...Wynn
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Wynn