082
FNUS72 KTAE 310828
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for SMR 103-156...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
428 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Dangerously hot conditions persist today with highs in the low to
mid 90s and heat indices 106-109F into the afternoon. Seabreeze
develops later this morning with southwest winds to start the day
becoming southerly as the seabreeze strengthens and moves inland.
Wind speeds are light this morning picking up to 15 to 20 MPH this
afternoon. A few showers have made it inland from Apalachee Bay
this morning so a light shower cannot be ruled out early this
morning, then a lull later this morning then around a 30% chance
of a shower or storm impacting the site this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 12 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 50.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  25  25  25  32  32  32  17  17  17
Weather cov.....                CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............82  85  88  90  92  92  93  93  92  89
RH..............85  77  70  68  64  64  62  62  62  68
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   6   9   9   10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.3   6   7   9   10  16  17  18  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.6 2.5 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   9   10  10  12  14  15  16
Dispersion......9   38  38  38  46  46  46  50  50  50
LVORI...........5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 12 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 17 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....48 decreasing to 9 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  17  17  17  17  17  9   9   9   18  18  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0
Temp............89  89  87  86  84  84  83  82  82  81  81  80
RH..............68  68  72  72  77  77  80  82  82  85  85  88
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  10  9   6   5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.20  18  16  10  9   9   7   6   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.0 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.17  17  17  16  15  14  12  10  9   9   9   9
Dispersion......48  48  48  12  12  12  7   7   7   5   5   5
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms late in
                    the morning, then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 12 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 9 mph shifting to the south 10 to 14
                    mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 39.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  18  18  24  24  24  37  37  37  33  33  33
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............30  30  30  30  30  30  60  60  60  60  60  60
Temp............80  79  81  84  89  92  94  94  93  93  92  91
RH..............88  91  88  82  70  62  58  58  60  60  64  66
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   5   6   8   9   10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   6   7   9   10  15  16  20  20  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 0.9 1.7 2.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   7   7   7   7   8   9   10  12  13  14
Dispersion......9   9   9   29  29  29  40  40  40  38  38  38
LVORI...........6   6   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3

$$
Forecaster...Scholl
Requested by...Wesley Oconnor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518891.0/TAE
.DELDT 07/31/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wesley_oconnor@fws.gov