Suppression Forecast
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636
FNUS72 KTAE 041000
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Gully B Helo...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
600 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Good to excellent dispersions are expected at the burn site this
afternoon as another very warm day, with temperatures not too far
off from records, occurs. Minimum relative humidities will remain
on the higher side with moist southerly flow in place. Light
southeasterly winds in the morning hours should quickly increase
and become more southerly after 10am as diurnal heating occurs. Peak
gusts will top out around 15 to 20 mph. Gusts should begin to
taper off after 5pm as diurnal heating wanes. Lighter southerly
flow tonight is expected and fog potential could be a little
higher than what was observed this morning. Another warm and
breezy afternoon, with higher dispersions, is expected at the site
on Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  75  53  45  50  60  47  53  51  44  41
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  67  71  77  80  83  84  84  84  84  83
RH..............100 100 97  82  74  67  63  63  61  59  61
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.9   6   7   14  18  18  18  18  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  14  17  20  20  20  18  17  16  14
Dispersion......5   11  17  34  49  51  54  52  51  48  42
LVORI...........9   8   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24  32  25  30  31  35  42  50  32  49  60  78
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............83  80  76  72  69  68  68  67  67  65  66  68
RH..............59  67  76  87  97  100 100 100 100 100 100 93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   N   N   N   N   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.13  6   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.13  10  8   7   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   9
Dispersion......27  15  4   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........2   3   4   6   7   9   9   9   9   9   9   7

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  71  81  67  54  57  48  49  49  51  54  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............68  70  70  72  75  79  79  81  82  81  81  80
RH..............93  90  93  87  82  69  69  65  63  65  65  67
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.3   6   6   9   15  20  21  21  20  20  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   12  14  16  18  18  20  18  17  16
Dispersion......4   5   9   14  27  40  50  56  61  56  50  45
LVORI...........6   6   6   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   2

$$
Forecaster...Dobbs
Requested by...WG 1011
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508833.0/TAE
.DELDT 04/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alex.skovronsky@fdacs.gov