589
FXUS64 KSJT 092040 CCA
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
217 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - Dry weather with a warming trend this weekend into early next
    week.

  - A cold front on Wednesday will return temperatures to near
    normal, with highs in the 60s and 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 215 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

Quiet weather can be expected for our area through Sunday. Initially
southwest flow aloft over our area will become quasi-zonal on
Sunday, as an upper level low (currently over the central Plains)
moves northeast into the Upper Midwest. With a weak surface pressure
gradient across our area, wind speeds will be mostly less than 10
mph. Patchy cloud cover over southern and central parts of our area
will decrease in coverage tonight, and skies will be sunny on
Sunday. Lows tonight will be generally in the 40s. With ample
sunshine and an increase in 850mb temperatures, highs on Sunday are
expected to be warmer in the lower to mid 70s across the Big
Country, and in the mid to upper 70s farther south with some
locations reaching or exceeding 80 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 210 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

Overall dry and pleasant conditions should continue for early next
week weak ridging builds over Texas.  High temperatures should
gradually warm back up into the mid to upper 70s for Veterans` Day,
then around 80 on Tuesday.  By Wednesday, an upper-level shortwave
trough is expected move over the northern and central Plains.  This
would push a weak cold front into west central Texas and lower
temperatures by a few degrees.  Models hint at some low chances for
rain north of Interstate 20 from this front, but for now, the
forecast was kept dry for Wednesday.  Toward the end of the week,
warm and breezy conditions should set up as strong southerly return
flow occurs ahead of another system.  Models show this system
digging into southern California.  Depending on how this evolves,
this would place west central Texas into an active pattern under
southwest flow aloft for next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1150 AM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Patchy
cloud cover with bases/ceilings 4000-6000 ft will be over
the southern half of the area this afternoon, and lingering
over southern parts of our area tonight. Wind speeds will be less
than 10 knots through the next 24 hours. Light winds this afternoon
will become south by this evening, and veer to southwest by early
Sunday morning. Southwest winds will become west by mid-to-late
Sunday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     45  73  45  75 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  44  79  44  78 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    46  81  47  81 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   46  76  44  75 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  45  73  47  76 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       45  77  46  78 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       49  78  45  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...19