Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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121
FXUS63 KSGF 291855
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
155 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures and dry weather for the next 7 days.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 129 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025

We have another warm and sunny day in southern Missouri as high
pressure continues to sit over us through the next couple of
days as we stay in this blocking pattern. Highs today will be in
the upper 80s with light southeasterly winds. It will feel
rather dry out there again as dewpoints sit in the 50s and
humidity values stay in the 30-40% range. Tonight will be
another pleasant night with a few more clouds in the sky and
lows in the upper 50s expected which will be a bit warmer than
Sunday night. Patchy ground fog may occur again by early Monday
morning if the winds remain very light and the skies aren`t too
cloudy.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 129 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025

Even though October starts this week, it won`t quite feel like
fall. Through the end of the forecast period we will be mostly
dry and warmer than average. Ensemble cluster analysis shows a
trough west of the area with tropical disturbances affecting the
far southeast US. Our area looks to be caught in between with
high pressure in control. A persistence forecast will prevail
for much of the week. 850mb temps in the 12-14C range will
support highs in the 80s which is above average (average highs
are in the upper 70s). The latest NBM and other extended
guidance continues to show rain chances remaining below 10
percent for at least the next 7 days.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025

VFR through the period with light southeast winds and mostly
clear skies.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Soria
LONG TERM...Soria
AVIATION...Soria