397
FXUS63 KSGF 081710
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1110 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures warm above average on Tuesday with gusty
  southwest winds to 30 mph. Average highs for this time period
  range from 45 to 50 degrees.

- Strong cold front moves through on Thursday night bringing
  much colder temps to the area. Cold air starts to settle in by
  Friday night with lows in the teens and Saturday`s highs only
  reaching the mid 30s. Overnight wind chills for both days will
  be in the single digits.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 218 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

There is still a fair amount of stratus hanging out over us
early this morning and it will continue to do so until skies
clear out by this afternoon. A surface high starts to build in
to our north to start the week. Southerly flow returns and high
temperatures slowly warm back up for today and tomorrow. Today,
highs will be in the lower 40s with light southwesterly winds.
Tonight will be mostly clear and cool with lows in the upper 20s
to lower 30s.

A shortwave trough will pass just to our north on Tuesday and
tighten the pressure gradient bringing us gusty southwesterly
winds up to 30 mph especially near I-49. Highs Tuesday will be
warm in the mid 50s with mostly sunny skies. Clouds start to
move in Tuesday night ahead of another cold front and that will
keep our overnight temperatures warm in the upper 30s to lower
40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 218 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

A dry front will move through on Wednesday and switch our winds
to the northwest. Highs on Wednesday and Thursday will be
similar in the upper 40s to low 50s. Then, another cold front
moves through on Thursday night and that front will be much
stronger than the Tuesday front and will bring us a pretty
strong cold snap. Latest guidance has removed the wintry
precipitation from our area and has the frontal passage passing
through as a dry front. Models are also now a couple of degrees
warmer than previous forecasts with this air mass. The temperature
spread for Friday is still quite large with a spread of almost
15 degrees. This may indicate that the timing and strength of
the CAA is in question. The cold snap will still feel cold, it`s
just that temperatures for the end of the week/weekend have
warmed by a degree or two.

Thursday night will have lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s.
Highs for Friday are now in the 30s and 40s and Saturday may be
the coldest day of the weekend. Friday night is still the
coldest and lows will be in the teens that night with wind
chills in the single digits. Saturday will be a bit cooler in
the upper 20s to mid 30s with partly cloudy skies and lows in
teens again. A surface high pressure system starts to build into
the area for Sunday and will help us warm up back up a little
with high temperatures reaching the upper 30s across the area.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1110 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Mid-level stratus that has been producing MVFR to locally IFR
ceilings this morning will continue to break up at the
beginning of the TAF period, though scattered mid-level clouds
may persist through the afternoon.

Southwest winds will increase on Tuesday, sustained between 10
to 15 kt and gusts near 25 kt.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Soria
LONG TERM...Soria
AVIATION...Didio