Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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FNUS71 KRNK 061006
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Spot Forecast for Hanging Rock Fire...NC Forest Service
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
606 AM EDT Wed May 6 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Going to see cloudy skies this morning, a few showers moving across
by midday, becoming more scattered in the afternoon. Another
round of showers and storms looks to move across the site
early this evening, with off and on showers into Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming cloudy
                    (95-100 percent). Scattered showers early in
                    the morning. Isolated thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent increasing to 50 percent early in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 30 percent
                    early in the afternoon increasing back to 50 percent
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 22 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (85000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................17 early in the morning increasing to 62 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 76  69  100 100
Weather cov.....    SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            ISO ISO ISO ISO
CWR.............10  50  50  50  50  40  30  40  40  50  50
Temp............64  61  60  62  63  66  69  71  73  74  73
RH..............68  79  85  85  82  77  72  68  67  67  72
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   12  12  11  11  12  12  11  11  11  10
20 FT wind gust.20  21  21  21  22  21  21  19  19  19  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.8 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.0 3.5
Mixng wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Mixng wind spd..15  15  16  17  18  20  21  21  21  21  20
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   3
ADI.............17  22  27  31  35  45  53  59  62  58  50
VRate mph-ft/1K.12  19  26  30  36  55  73  87  98  84  68

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Showers through
                    the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
CWR (0.01 in).......100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 18 mph in the evening and overnight
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 10 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 3
                    to 8 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (48600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 to 43.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........89  86  100 88  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....SCT NUM CHC LKY DEF LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............50  60  50  60  80  70  70  100 90  100 90  70
Temp............73  71  70  68  67  66  66  65  65  65  64  64
RH..............72  75  80  86  88  88  90  91  90  89  91  90
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   7   6   6   6   6   3   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.18  16  13  12  11  11  10  10  7   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW
Mixng wind spd..17  14  10  7   5   3   3   3   5   6   8   8
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
ADI.............43  15  9   7   4   3   3   3   4   5   7   7
VRate mph-ft/1K.56  26  6   4   3   2   2   2   2   3   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely through the day. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......60 percent to 20
                    percent late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph
                    early in the morning, then shifting to the
                    northwest late in the morning shifting to the
                    north in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the east
                    early in the morning, then shifting to the
                    northeast 6 to 12 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (22900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................1 to 31.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 94  91  88  83  79  85  89  79  74  72
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............60  50  40  50  50  70  70  40  40  30  20  10
Temp............62  61  60  60  59  59  59  59  60  60  60  60
RH..............94  95  97  99  100 98  98  94  91  89  85  84
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..4   4   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   8   10  10  10  11  11  12  11  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.9
Mixng wind dir..SW  SE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NE  NE
Mixng wind spd..6   3   1   2   6   8   10  12  12  12  10  8
LVORI...........6   8   8   9   8   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............5   3   1   4   9   19  25  30  31  29  22  19
VRate mph-ft/1K.3   2   1   3   7   15  20  25  26  24  18  16

$$
Forecaster...Perry
Requested by...Sam Griffith
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2612869.0/RNK
.DELDT 05/06/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL d10opsrm@ncagr.gov