Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
316
FNUS71 KRLX 091029
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for WV-MOF-875...USFS
National Weather Service Charleston WV
529 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EST on November 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
With an easterly component today winds will turn out of the
southeast by mid-afternoon which will bring slightly more dry air to
the equation as downsloping across the higher terrain takes place
bringing down RH values to their minimum values of low 20s to mid
20s. Also, could see some occasional light breezes of up to 10-15mph
under mainly sunny skies. A wetting rain is expected for Sunday
where rain spreading from west to east overnight and will continue
through the day providing up to a total half an inch of rain for the
fire area into Monday.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 2 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    5 to 6 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 11.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  17  17  18  19  21  22  24  26  28  30  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  37  39  43  47  51  53  55  58  59  57  56
RH..............72  71  62  52  44  39  37  35  31  30  31  34
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   4           6   6   7   7   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.5 0.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.2   3   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............2   4   5   6   10  11  10  11  11  10  9   5
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
CWR.................7 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 3 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  51  55  59  63  61  60  58  65  72  79  82
Weather cov.....                                            SCH
Weather type....                                            RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............52  50  49  47  45  45  44  43  42  42  42  41
RH..............42  47  48  48  54  54  53  53  55  56  57  60
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8   8   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
ADI.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning, then rain showers
                    likely late in the morning. Rain showers in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................14 percent increasing to 72 percent.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 6 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 to 6.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85  89  79  92  87  85  89  93  91  89  87  88
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  30  40  50  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
Chc of pcpn (%).30  50  50  60  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  38  40  44  48  50  51  52  52  53  53  52
RH..............63  71  78  74  69  67  68  70  71  72  75  81
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
LVORI...........3   3   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
ADI.............2   2   2   3   4   4   4   6   6   6   6   6
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...JZ
Requested by...Amanda Shoaf
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426177.0/RLX
.DELDT 11/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pamacc@firenet.gov,amanda.shoaf@usda.gov