Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 231203
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Spot Forecast for Rattlesnake Mountain Pile burn...BLM
National Weather Service Riverton WY
503 AM MST Fri Jan 23 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on January 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...

A much colder day then yesterday with temperatures largely holding
steady around zero degrees today. Wind should remain light through
around 1000, the becoming north in the afternoon with gusts to
around 15 mph. Snow showers will be around the area from time to
time but any accumulation should be less then an inch. With shallow
Arctic air over the burn site, mixing heights will remain very low
and with light wind smoke dispersal will remain rather poor. Winds
will become largely light and terrain driven tonight. Saturday looks
like a dry day before another front brings the next chance of snow
showers for Sunday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers in the morning through 1500.
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around zero.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1000, then north 7 to 10 mph
                    with gusts to around 16 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......100 feet AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  85  85  85  85  80  80  85  85  85  80  70
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  0
Temp............-2  -1  0   0   0   0   0   -1  -1  -2  -3  -6
RH..............71  71  73  71  68  67  66  67  66  67  67  68
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   10  9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   10  11  13  13  14  16  14  14  13
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  13  14  15  15  16  17  16  16  15
SDspl kt-ft/10000   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 8 below.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 7 mph until 1900, then
                    light.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......100 feet AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 14 mph until 2000, then southwest 9
                    to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60  45  30  20  20  15  10  10  10  15  20  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............-8  -8  -8  -8  -8  -8  -8  -7  -7  -4  -5  -1
RH..............69  68  68  65  65  66  66  61  58  52  51  43
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   4   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.11  8   7   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   10  10
Ridge wind dir..NW  W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   NW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  12  10  9   9   9   9   10  10  12  13  13
SDspl kt-ft/10000   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 14.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest around 10 mph until 1300, then north.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL after 1000 until 1700.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 12 mph until 1600, then north
                    around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  30  45  60  60  65  65  65  65  65  70  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............0   2   2   6   10  13  14  14  13  10  7   5
RH..............41  41  43  40  39  40  41  43  46  52  57  61
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   4   4   5   5   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   7   6   6   7   7   8   8   7   7
Ridge wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  10  10  12  12  10  12  12  10  10
SDspl kt-ft/10000   0   0   0   3   5   8   9   13  9   4   1

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Lows near zero.
Highs around 16. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Not as cold. Mostly clear. Lows around 8. Highs around 30. West
winds around 16 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows around 17. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds
around 13 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Hattings
Requested by...Matt Rothleutenr
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600677.2/RIW
.DELDT 01/23/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mlrothleutner@blm.gov,sgettings@blm.gov