


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
178 FXZS60 NSTU 310230 CCA AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 330 PM SST Wed Jul 30 2025 .Discussion... The trough mentioned in previous forecasts continues to weaken over the Islands. Moisture and convection associated with the trough is more focused further south than it was early in the week. However, remnants of it lingers in the area. Expect passing showers to persist through Thursday, until the trough moves east. Winds were light and variable since last night, which is sooner than we anticipated. Model trends hold this gentle breeze through Friday, before being dominantly south on Saturday. Fair weather and cooler air is possible for the weekend, especially due to the wind direction (cooler air from the south - towards the poles). A high pressure system will dominate in the area for the rest of the forecast period, shifting winds eastward on Monday as it moves east. Expect scattered showers for this time through midweek. && .Marine... A high surf advisory is cancelled as swells have diminished in the area. Waves are also following a subsiding trend, but the small craft advisory continues as wave heights are around 8 feet. Model data projects calm ocean conditions by Friday and through the weekend as winds are light and variable. By Sunday, a strong south swell may elevate wave heights once again, possibly reaching high surf warning levels. However, our confidence in this playing out is low at this time. .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Small Craft Advisory High Surf Advisory && $$ TM