Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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FXZS60 NSTU 310230 CCA
AFDPPG

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Pago Pago  AS
330 PM SST Wed Jul 30 2025

.Discussion...
The trough mentioned in previous forecasts continues to weaken
over the Islands. Moisture and convection associated with the
trough is more focused further south than it was early in the week.
However, remnants of it lingers in the area. Expect passing
showers to persist through Thursday, until the trough moves east.

Winds were light and variable since last night, which is sooner
than we anticipated. Model trends hold this gentle breeze through
Friday, before being dominantly south on Saturday. Fair weather
and cooler air is possible for the weekend, especially due to the
wind direction (cooler air from the south - towards the poles). A
high pressure system will dominate in the area for the rest of the
forecast period, shifting winds eastward on Monday as it moves
east. Expect scattered showers for this time through midweek.

&&
.Marine...
A high surf advisory is cancelled as swells have diminished in the
area. Waves are also following a subsiding trend, but the small
craft advisory continues as wave heights are around 8 feet. Model
data projects calm ocean conditions by Friday and through the
weekend as winds are light and variable. By Sunday, a strong south
swell may elevate wave heights once again, possibly reaching
high surf warning levels. However, our confidence in this playing
out is low at this time.


.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Small Craft Advisory
High Surf Advisory

&&

$$

TM