440
FXUS63 KPAH 190816
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
215 AM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above and near average temperatures continue through early
  next week.

- After a brief break today, more beneficial rain is expected,
  around 1-2" by Saturday morning.

- Temperatures cool down for Thanksgiving next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 214 AM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

Expect a brief dry day today with highs right around average. Had to
pull highs down slightly due to the anticipated cloud cover, but
should we break out temps may go over. Tonight WAA promotes the
development of more showers and storms that will last through
Friday. Aloft another shortwave lifts into the Central Plains by
Friday afternoon and swings through the area Friday night into
Saturday morning. This will bring more beneficial rainfall to the
area, around 1-2" by Saturday morning.

PoPs taper off by Saturday afternoon and give us a mainly dry
weekend with slightly above normal temperatures. PoPs then start to
increase again Sunday night into Monday as a deeper system aloft
approaches from the west. This trof begins to lift as it moves
northeast through the Midwest brining a sfc cold front with it.

Broad troughing aloft takes over by Thursday morning along with
building sfc high pressure, together bringing colder air to the
region for Thanksgiving.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 544 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

Convection will be a concern this evening at KEVV, KOWB, and
especially KPAH, where hail and gusty winds will be a
possibility. Ceilings are VFR, but IFR and lower ceilings and
possibly visibilities in drizzle are expected to push southward
over the region later this evening and overnight. Those lowered
conditions may linger through the morning before improving
midday into the afternoon.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...DRS