083
FXUS63 KPAH 311712
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1212 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A prolonged duration Heat Advisory remains in effect thru
  Friday for daily heat indices 100-110 degrees.

- A small chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday and
  Saturday will help transition toward an end to the prolonged
  duration heat.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Strong high pressure at the surface and aloft remains locked in
here this week, pumping up the heat and humidity in the process.
Our prolonged duration Heat Advisory running the course of the
week looks to survive with ease, with all sites reaching into
the triple digits daily. Pushing past 105 degrees will be more
hit and miss, and tops the whole week looks to be near but not
in excess of 110 degrees, at least by means of the current data.
Wednesday-Thursday play the hottest, with most sites settling
somewhere from 103-106 degrees, though there may be sporadic
local exceptions slightly higher or lower.

Longer-range modeling still brings a chance of pcpn in toward
the week`s end, namely Friday-Saturday; but the chance is small,
smaller than it was yesterday, and as such, if the trend
continues, it`s possible the headline gets lengthened into
Saturday. We won`t jump on that this early, but it bears
watching as the week goes on.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Strong high pressure will keep minimal cloud and wind within a
predominantly Visual Flight Rules forecast regime. The only
exception might be patchy fog late in the night or during the
early pre dawn hours that might offer temporary vsby
restrictions, but the chance is low enough to preclude from the
forecast at this writing.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for MOZ076-086-087-100-
     107>112-114.
IN...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ Friday for INZ081-082-
     085>088.
KY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for KYZ001>022.

&&

$$