Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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671
FNUS51 KOKX 310618
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Widepsread rainfall is expected Thursday into early Friday.
Lingering light showers are possible Friday afternoon. Humidity
will be elevated, as a result. Winds mainly NE Thu & Fri, gusting
25-35 mph Thu night into Fri.

NYZ212-010630-
New York City-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           40           0
Temp (24h trend)      87 (-6)      64 (-13)     75
RH % (24h trend)      64 (+14)     97 (+14)     67
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 4-8       NE 10-14 G21 NE 13-17 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 9-13 G19   NE 13-17 G25 NE 11-15 G24
Precip Amount         0.52         0.98         0.22
Precip Duration       4            10           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4960         160
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 17         NE 24        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     74400        3360
Max ADI Early         51 Gen Good  43 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          51 Gen Good  22 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-010630-
Long Island-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           90           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 40           30           0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (-5)      62 (-11)     74
RH % (24h trend)      69 (+9)      100 (+5)     70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 5-9 G17   NE 11-15 G22 NE 15-19 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 9-13 G21   NE 14-18 G27 NE 14-18 G29
Precip Amount         0.26         0.73         0.32
Precip Duration       2            10           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3540         100
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 22         E 25         N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     67260        2200
Max ADI Early         47 Gen Good  45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          54 Gen Good  23 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-010630-
Lower Hudson Valley-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (-14)     58 (-12)     74
RH % (24h trend)      76 (+26)     100 (+4)     68
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 7-11 G21  NE 8-12 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G18  NE 8-12 G24  NE 7-11 G20
Precip Amount         0.68         1.00         0.19
Precip Duration       5            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4750         950
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 13        NE 22        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     52250        18050
Max ADI Early         39 Fair      46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          57 Gen Good  19 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-010630-
Western Passaic-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (-14)     59 (-11)     73
RH % (24h trend)      76 (+28)     100 (+6)     72
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      NE 5-9 G20   NE 6-10 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 4-8 G18   NE 6-10 G22  N 5-9 G20
Precip Amount         0.64         0.83         0.19
Precip Duration       5            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5050         760
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 14         E 20         N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     60600        12920
Max ADI Early         36 Fair      44 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          59 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-010630-
Eastern Passaic-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (-14)     62 (-12)     74
RH % (24h trend)      68 (+27)     99 (+12)     70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 6-10 G20  NE 9-13 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G18  NE 8-12 G24  NE 8-12 G21
Precip Amount         0.39         0.87         0.20
Precip Duration       5            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5200         300
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 14         NE 17        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     62400        4500
Max ADI Early         46 Gen Good  56 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          72 Good      17 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-010630-
Western Bergen-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (-13)     60 (-13)     73
RH % (24h trend)      71 (+28)     100 (+9)     71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 6-10 G20  NE 8-12 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 5-9 G18   NE 8-12 G23  NE 6-10 G20
Precip Amount         0.44         0.90         0.20
Precip Duration       5            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5370         710
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 13         NE 18        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     59070        11360
Max ADI Early         42 Gen Good  49 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          64 Good      14 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-010630-
Eastern Bergen-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      85 (-12)     62 (-13)     74
RH % (24h trend)      65 (+24)     98 (+12)     68
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 7-11 G21  NE 10-14 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G18  NE 9-13 G24  NE 8-12 G22
Precip Amount         0.40         0.86         0.20
Precip Duration       5            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5030         250
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 16         NE 21        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     70420        4500
Max ADI Early         48 Gen Good  60 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          74 Good      21 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-010630-
Western Essex-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      85 (-11)     62 (-12)     74
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+25)     99 (+12)     70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 7-11 G21  NE 10-14 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G18  NE 10-14 G25 NE 8-12 G22
Precip Amount         0.41         0.88         0.19
Precip Duration       4            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4840         250
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 15         NE 18        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     62920        4000
Max ADI Early         46 Gen Good  53 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          68 Good      18 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-010630-
Eastern Essex-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           30           0
Temp (24h trend)      86 (-11)     63 (-13)     75
RH % (24h trend)      63 (+22)     96 (+14)     67
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 8-12 G21  NE 11-15 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G18  NE 10-14 G24 NE 9-13 G22
Precip Amount         0.50         0.97         0.18
Precip Duration       4            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4950         250
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 14         NE 20        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     59400        4250
Max ADI Early         51 Gen Good  58 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          72 Good      20 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-010630-
Western Union-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           30           0
Temp (24h trend)      86 (-11)     62 (-13)     74
RH % (24h trend)      65 (+23)     99 (+12)     71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      NE 6-10 G20  NE 10-14 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 6-10 G17   NE 9-13 G24  NE 8-12 G21
Precip Amount         0.52         0.96         0.18
Precip Duration       4            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5010         70
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 14         NE 16        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     60120        980
Max ADI Early         49 Gen Good  53 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          71 Good      15 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-010630-
Eastern Union-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           40           0
Temp (24h trend)      87 (-10)     64 (-13)     76
RH % (24h trend)      61 (+20)     97 (+13)     65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      NE 7-11 G23  NE 11-15 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 7-11 G20   NE 10-14 G26 NE 9-13 G27
Precip Amount         0.60         0.94         0.18
Precip Duration       4            10           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4840         200
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 14         NE 18        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     58080        3200
Max ADI Early         49 Gen Good  56 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          71 Good      16 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-010630-
Hudson-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           30           0
Temp (24h trend)      86 (-9)      64 (-14)     75
RH % (24h trend)      61 (+16)     95 (+14)     66
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 4-8       NE 9-13 G20  NE 13-17 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G18  NE 12-16 G24 NE 11-15 G22
Precip Amount         0.55         1.00         0.20
Precip Duration       4            10           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4820         250
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 15         NE 22        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     62660        4750
Max ADI Early         51 Gen Good  44 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          52 Gen Good  21 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-010630-
Northern Fairfield-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 40           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (-13)     59 (-10)     73
RH % (24h trend)      77 (+27)     100 (+3)     73
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 8-12 G20  NE 10-14 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11      NE 9-13 G22  NE 8-12 G21
Precip Amount         0.51         0.99         0.23
Precip Duration       4            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4360         1030
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 12         E 18         N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     43600        16480
Max ADI Early         38 Fair      38 Fair
Max ADI Late          47 Gen Good  28 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-010630-
Southern Fairfield-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 40           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (-10)     60 (-13)     74
RH % (24h trend)      73 (+22)     100 (+7)     71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 5-9       NE 10-14 G24 NE 12-16 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G19  NE 12-16 G25 NE 10-14 G23
Precip Amount         0.36         0.83         0.23
Precip Duration       4            10           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4290         930
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 16         NE 25        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     60060        20460
Max ADI Early         45 Gen Good  58 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          69 Good      27 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-010630-
Northern New Haven-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 40           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (-13)     59 (-11)     73
RH % (24h trend)      75 (+25)     100 (+4)     73
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 4-8       NE 8-12 G21  NE 10-14 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G17  NE 10-14 G24 NE 9-13 G21
Precip Amount         0.48         1.04         0.24
Precip Duration       5            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4760         250
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 10         NE 15        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     42840        3250
Max ADI Early         38 Fair      32 Fair
Max ADI Late          44 Gen Good  32 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-010630-
Southern New Haven-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 30           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (-8)      60 (-12)     74
RH % (24h trend)      71 (+17)     100 (+6)     71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 4-8       NE 9-13 G22  NE 11-15 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G19  NE 10-14 G24 NE 10-14 G24
Precip Amount         0.35         0.83         0.26
Precip Duration       4            10           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4630         450
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 14         E 18         N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     55560        7200
Max ADI Early         38 Fair      41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          50 Gen Good  30 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-010630-
Northern Middlesex-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (-13)     59 (-11)     71
RH % (24h trend)      74 (+26)     100 (+4)     72
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 7-11 G21  NE 10-14 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G17  NE 9-13 G23  NE 9-13 G22
Precip Amount         0.36         0.99         0.29
Precip Duration       5            10           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4650
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 10         E 14         N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     41850        0
Max ADI Early         36 Fair      19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          41 Gen Good  20 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-010630-
Southern Middlesex-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 30           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (-6)      60 (-11)     73
RH % (24h trend)      70 (+12)     100 (+2)     71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 8-12 G21  NE 11-15 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G19  NE 9-13 G24  NE 10-14 G24
Precip Amount         0.27         0.64         0.28
Precip Duration       4            10           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4230         370
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 14         E 18         N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     50760        5920
Max ADI Early         39 Fair      41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          57 Gen Good  18 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-010630-
Northern New London-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (-12)     59 (-10)     71
RH % (24h trend)      69 (+21)     100 (+2)     74
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 8-12 G20  NE 10-14 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G17  NE 9-13 G23  NE 9-13 G23
Precip Amount         0.25         0.64         0.29
Precip Duration       5            10           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4010
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 13        NE 16        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     44110        0
Max ADI Early         43 Gen Good  14 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          49 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-010630-
Southern New London-
218 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           80           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (-6)      60 (-10)     72
RH % (24h trend)      70 (+10)     100 (+1)     72
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 3-7       NE 8-12 G21  NE 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G18  NE 9-13 G23  NE 10-14 G24
Precip Amount         0.22         0.49         0.28
Precip Duration       4            10           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070         10
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 15         NE 16        N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     52910        140
Max ADI Early         43 Gen Good  32 Fair
Max ADI Late          51 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the upper 70s. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs
in the lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the mid 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$