Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Versions:
1
657
FNUS51 KOKX 150624
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions continue through tonight. Showers and a few
thunderstorms are possible late Sunday into Sunday night
with potential of a wetting rainfall across portions of
the area. Winds will be light through Sunday morning,
then increase Sunday afternoon with gust around 20 mph
near the coast. Min RH ranges from 40 to 50 percent
today and 55 to 70 percent on Sunday.
NYZ212-160630-
New York City-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (-2) 68 (-2) 82
RH % (24h trend) 41 (-2) 83 (-1) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 3-7 SE 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 3-7 Lgt/Var S 10-14 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.15
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8490 990 5970
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 E 3 S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 59430 2970 71640
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 65 Good
Max ADI Late 67 Good 2 Very Poor 71 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-160630-
Long Island-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 83 (0) 64 (-2) 81
RH % (24h trend) 44 (-1) 85 (-7) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 4-8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7500 6430
Transport Wnd (mph) N 7 W 3 S 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45000 0 51440
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good 40 Fair 48 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 2 Very Poor 63 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-160630-
Lower Hudson Valley-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (0) 57 (-3) 80
RH % (24h trend) 42 (-4) 95 (-4) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.16
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8330 5930
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 10 NE 2 S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 74970 0 77090
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 64 Good 70 Good
Max ADI Late 92 Good 1 Very Poor 94 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-160630-
Western Passaic-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (0) 60 (0) 79
RH % (24h trend) 43 (-1) 94 (-6) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 3-7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.22
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8550 60 5550
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 10 E 2 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 76950 120 77700
Max ADI Early 43 Gen Good 63 Good 71 Good
Max ADI Late 93 Good 1 Very Poor 96 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-160630-
Eastern Passaic-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (-2) 63 (-2) 81
RH % (24h trend) 40 (+1) 91 (-1) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6-10 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.20
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8560 5920
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 E 2 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 68480 0 82880
Max ADI Early 47 Gen Good 67 Good 70 Good
Max ADI Late 94 Good 1 Very Poor 102 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-160630-
Western Bergen-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (0) 61 (-2) 81
RH % (24h trend) 40 (-1) 93 (-4) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.19
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8540 5940
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 E 2 S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 68320 0 77220
Max ADI Early 46 Gen Good 66 Good 69 Good
Max ADI Late 95 Good 1 Very Poor 101 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-160630-
Eastern Bergen-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (-3) 65 (-1) 82
RH % (24h trend) 39 (0) 85 (-5) 57
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 7-11 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.14
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8560 6150
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 NE 2 S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 68480 0 67650
Max ADI Early 47 Gen Good 64 Good 68 Good
Max ADI Late 92 Good 2 Very Poor 75 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-160630-
Western Essex-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (-2) 64 (-2) 81
RH % (24h trend) 40 (+1) 90 (+1) 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6-10 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.22
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8520 200 5880
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 NE 1 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 68160 200 82320
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good 59 Gen Good 68 Good
Max ADI Late 88 Good 2 Very Poor 96 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-160630-
Eastern Essex-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (-3) 67 (-2) 82
RH % (24h trend) 40 (+3) 84 (0) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 7-11 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.16
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8460 1090 5950
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 N 1 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 59220 1090 83300
Max ADI Early 50 Gen Good 55 Gen Good 70 Good
Max ADI Late 81 Good 2 Very Poor 75 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-160630-
Western Union-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 85 (-2) 65 (-1) 82
RH % (24h trend) 41 (+1) 92 (+4) 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.22
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8640 250 5860
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 NE 1 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60480 250 82040
Max ADI Early 51 Gen Good 56 Gen Good 69 Good
Max ADI Late 84 Good 2 Very Poor 95 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-160630-
Eastern Union-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 85 (-3) 68 (-1) 82
RH % (24h trend) 40 (+2) 85 (0) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 7-11 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.17
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8600 500 5940
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 E 2 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60200 1000 83160
Max ADI Early 52 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 68 Good
Max ADI Late 74 Good 2 Very Poor 81 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-160630-
Hudson-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (-2) 68 (-1) 82
RH % (24h trend) 40 (+1) 82 (0) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 3-7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.15
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8310 1490 5870
Transport Wnd (mph) N 7 E 3 S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 49860 4470 88050
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good 51 Gen Good 68 Good
Max ADI Late 75 Good 2 Very Poor 73 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-160630-
Northern Fairfield-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 80 (-1) 57 (-2) 79
RH % (24h trend) 44 (-5) 93 (-7) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7850 60 6050
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 10 N 2 S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 70650 120 54450
Max ADI Early 38 Fair 70 Good 55 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 95 Good 1 Very Poor 86 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-160630-
Southern Fairfield-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 83 (0) 60 (-3) 82
RH % (24h trend) 43 (-3) 89 (-9) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 3-7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 7-11 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7990 6350
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 N 3 S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 55930 0 57150
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 60 Gen Good 55 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 81 Good 2 Very Poor 80 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-160630-
Northern New Haven-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (0) 56 (-3) 81
RH % (24h trend) 41 (-8) 93 (-7) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8130 6210
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 N 6 SW 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 65040 0 43470
Max ADI Early 40 Fair 64 Good 47 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 89 Good 2 Very Poor 81 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-160630-
Southern New Haven-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (0) 57 (-5) 81
RH % (24h trend) 43 (-6) 92 (-7) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8110 6450
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 N 2 SW 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 56770 0 38700
Max ADI Early 42 Gen Good 59 Gen Good 41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 82 Good 2 Very Poor 89 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-160630-
Northern Middlesex-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (0) 56 (-4) 80
RH % (24h trend) 41 (-3) 97 (-3) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8040 6360
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 10 NW 3 SW 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 72360 0 38160
Max ADI Early 46 Gen Good 67 Good 41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 95 Good 1 Very Poor 96 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-160630-
Southern Middlesex-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (+1) 58 (-3) 81
RH % (24h trend) 44 (-6) 93 (-7) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4-8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8160 6520
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 NW 2 SW 6
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 57120 0 32600
Max ADI Early 42 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 36 Fair
Max ADI Late 76 Good 1 Very Poor 93 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-160630-
Northern New London-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 80 (-1) 54 (-4) 81
RH % (24h trend) 41 (-5) 97 (-3) 57
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7860 6590
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 10 NW 5 W 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 70740 0 39540
Max ADI Early 55 Gen Good 68 Good 41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 96 Good 1 Very Poor 78 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-160630-
Southern New London-
224 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (+1) 57 (-3) 80
RH % (24h trend) 44 (-8) 94 (-5) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8120 6530
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 W 3 SW 6
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 64960 0 32650
Max ADI Early 51 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 37 Fair
Max ADI Late 79 Good 1 Very Poor 81 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Breezy, showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s. North winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$