Offshore Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
404 FZNT25 KNHC 092124 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 424 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Rafael is centered near 25.5N 91.7W at 2100 UTC, or 275 nm NNW of Progreso Mexico, moving WNW at 4 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Slow and steady weakening is expected during the next few days. Rafael will move slowly toward the west-northwest to northwest through Sun morning, then turn south-southwestward and toward the southwest Gulf of Mexico through early next week. Rafael will move to near 25.7N 91.9W around midnight tonight, reach near 26.0N 91.8W Sun afternoon, weaken to a remnant low near 25.7N 91.4W around midnight Sun, then continue to drift southwestward and weaken through Wed. Looking ahead, moderate to locally fresh E winds will build across most of the Gulf on Wed, then weaken Wed night and Thu as a new cold front moves into the western basin. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .THU...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .THU NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas occurring along and to the west of a trough, located from the Windward Passage to 25N69W, will strengthen tonight as the trough drifts W, and high pressure behind an approaching cold front builds into the area. The trough will move westward across the Greater Antilles, Turks and Caicos Islands, the southeastern Bahamas, and eastern Cuba through Mon before quickly weakening. A strong cold front is moving southward into the northern forecast waters this evening, and will reach 25N Sun morning, along 20N Mon morning, then will stall and begin to weaken along 19N Mon afternoon through Tue. Expect widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very rough seas in N swell north behind the front through early Mon before diminishing early next week. N swell will reach the NE Caribbean Mon morning and the Tropical Atlantic waters Mon afternoon and night. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh E trades and moderate to rough seas will occur east of the Windward Islands through the forecast period. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to 25 kt N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to 25 kt N of 27N. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E to SE 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell. .TUE...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .THU...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE to S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE to E swell.