311
FNUS74 KMRX 311758
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for Spruce Flats Falls SAR...Great Smoky Mountains Nat Park
National Weather Service Morristown TN
158 PM EDT Sun May 31 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 EDT on May 31.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

Chances for isolated to scattered showers and storms increase
this afternoon and evening. While severe weather isn`t expected,
any thunderstorm is capable of producing strong and gusty winds,
as well as lightning. Isolated showers may linger overnight.
Additional showers and storms are anticipated on Monday, with a
few strong to severe storms possible. Damaging straight-line
winds are the main concern. A drier weather pattern is expected
after Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Dewpoint............63.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  80  69  76
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  50  50
Temp............83  81  81  80
Dewpoint........62  62  63  64
RH..............49  53  54  58
Surface wnd dir.W   NW  NW  W
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   1
Surface wnd gst.6   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Dewpoint............63.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........68  68  84  67  59  64  62  67  68  71  70  82
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  40  40  40  30  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............77  75  72  70  68  67  66  65  64  64  63  63
Dewpoint........65  65  65  64  64  64  63  63  62  61  61  61
RH..............67  71  79  81  87  90  90  93  93  90  93  93
Surface wnd dir.W   W   SW  S   S   S   S   N   N   N   N   N
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0
Surface wnd gst.5   5   6   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Sam Roberts
Requested by...David Engle
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2614710.0/MRX
.DELDT 05/31/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL GRSM_Dispatch@nps.gov