Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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Spot Forecast for JDSP E5...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
335 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on June 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will continue over the local area through the weekend.
Prevailing southwesterly flow will limit the inland progression of
the sea breeze. However, it is forecast to reach the burn site by
late afternoon each day, backing winds to southeasterly. Isolated
to scattered showers and storms will be possible, though the highest
chances are well north of the site. Hot temperatures with highs in
the upper 80s to lower 90s are forecast. Heat indices 100-103 degrees.
No min RH concerns. Fair dispersion is forecast.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 9 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3300 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 35.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 3.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  34  35  29  28  27  22  23  24  24  31  31
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20  20
Temp............74  75  77  81  84  86  87  87  87  87  87  88
RH..............100 97  97  88  80  75  72  70  70  70  70  68
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   6   6   7   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   9   9   10  12  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.3 3.0 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.1 2.9 2.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   8   9   9   12
Dispersion idx..3   3   3   10  16  23  23  25  30  32  34  35
LVORI...........8   8   8   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest 8
                    to 9 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....31 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  22  23  23  27  31  29  25  26  27  24  22
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............86  84  83  80  80  79  78  77  76  76  75  75
RH..............70  74  77  85  82  85  88  90  90  90  94  94
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   6   6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  13  12  12  12  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  12  13  13  13  13  12  10  10  9   9   8
Dispersion idx..31  19  7   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   4   4
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph early in
                    the afternoon, then shifting to the southeast 7
                    to 8 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 33.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 4 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  26  25  28  24  20  21  21  22  24  26  28
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
Temp............74  74  76  80  83  86  86  87  87  87  87  87
RH..............97  97  97  85  80  72  72  70  70  70  70  70
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   5   6   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   8   8   8   9   10  12  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8
Dispersion idx..4   3   6   11  15  20  22  25  28  29  29  33
LVORI...........8   7   7   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Leahy
Requested by...Rob Rossmanith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515418.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robin.rossmanith@floridadep.gov