914
FNUS72 KMHX 051158
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Coast Haven Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
658 AM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EST on November 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure shifts offshore today with well above normal
conditions returning through late week. A weak front will move
through the area late Thursday. High pressure then rebuilds
offshore this weekend.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 16 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 58419 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 57.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.20 to 30.29 inHg.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  23  21  23  26  28  29  30  31  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  71  74  76  77  77  78  77  75  73
RH..............84  76  69  64  62  62  60  62  69  73
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.9 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 2.7 1.4 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.13  14  16  15  15  16  15  13  12  10
LVORI...........4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3
ADI.............16  33  52  52  52  57  53  38  22  11
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.12  26  48  53  53  58  53  34  17  6
Sfc pres (in)...027 028 029 028 026 024 023 021 020 020

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 14 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 3334 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Min 4.
Stability class.....5.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.15 to 30.20 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33  34  33  30  29  31  36  38  39  40  41  46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  68  67  67  67  67  67  67  67  66  66  65
RH..............84  90  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9       5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  13  13  13  14  12  10  9   9   8
LVORI...........4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   9
ADI.............7   8   8   8   8   8   6   5   5   4   6   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   5   6   6   6   5   6   5   4   4   4   3
Sfc pres (in)...020 020 020 020 020 019 018 017 016 015 015 015

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 21505 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 8.
ADI.................Max 23.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.13 to 30.19 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........55     58     52     63     67     67
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............65     69     75     77     77     75
RH..............100    84     76     71     69     76
20 ft wind......S 4    S 4    S 5    S 6    S 6    S 5
20 ft wind gust.5      5      9      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    2300   2300   1700   700
Transport wind..S 7    S 7    S 8    S 9    S 8    S 7
LVORI...........8      4      3      3      3      4
ADI.............8      8      17     19     17     7
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3      4      18     21     13     4
Sfc pres (in)...30.16  30.18  30.19  30.16  30.14  30.13

$$
Forecaster...Kearns
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2425558.3/MHX
.DELDT 11/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.l.nelson@usda.gov