559
FNUS76 KMFR 312122
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Hagelstein Fire...BLM
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
222 PM PDT Thu Jul 31 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 PDT on July 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be near or
over the burn area into early this evening. Storms so far have been
slow movers which could provide the opportunity for wetting rains should
a storm move or develop over the burn area. However, the main concern
will be gusty and erratic winds near thunderstorms into this evening.
once storms end this evening, it will be dry tonight into Friday
morning, then isolated to scattered storms will be a concern again
during the mid to late afternoon and early evening hours. However,
the best chance for scattered storms should remain west of the burn area.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny with isolated to scattered thunderstorms.
Chance of lightning.42 percent.
Max temperature.....76-78.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Eye level winds.....North 2-4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........North 4-7 mph, except for gusty and erratic winds
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7-11 mph.
CWR.................31 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Isolated to scattered storms until  8pm pdt,
                    then partly cloudy.
Chance of lightning.26 percent early this evening, then 5 percent.
Min temperature.....56-58.
Max humidity........66 percent.
Eye level winds.....Calm.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 0-2 mph, except for gusty and erratic winds
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 2-5 mph.
CWR.................21 percent in the evening, then 0.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning, then partly cloudy with
                    isolated to scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of lightning.31 percent.
Max temperature.....80-82.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable 1-3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-34 mph, then west 2-5 mph in the
                    afternoon, except for gusty and erratic winds
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6-11 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...PETRUCELLI
Requested by...Jesse Morris
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518714.4/MFR
.DELDT 07/31/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jhmorris@blm.gov