Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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371
FWUS46 KMFR 132301
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT MON OCT 13 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   50   40   30   30   40   25   30   40   35   30   30   25   30   15   15   10
TEMPERATURE        31   31   32   33   33   32   37   39   39   35   32   32   31   31   36   38   39
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  40                  30                  40
WIND DIR            E   SE    E   NE   NE   NE   NE   NE   NE    N   NE    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         11   20   18   14   13   11    9    5    6    9    6   10   12   11   13   13   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    50   20    5    5   10   10   10   10   20   20   10   10    5    5    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE         S    S                                  S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.15      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 1.4       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          1.4                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.8  6.8  6.6  6.6  6.7  7.1  7.6  7.7  7.4  7.2  7.1  6.6  6.4  7.0  7.2  7.4


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   40   40   25   30   45   25   30   45   30   30   25   30   25   15   15   10
TEMPERATURE        31   30   29   31   29   30   39   42   40   32   28   28   27   28   39   41   39
MIN/MAX TEMP                           29                  42                  26                  42
WIND DIR            E   SE   NE   NE   NE   NE    N   NE    N    N   NE    N   NW    W    W    W   NW
WIND (MPH)          9   13   14    9   10    9    6    6    6    5    6    6    6    8   10   10   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    50   20    5    5   10   10   10   10   20   20   10   10    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE         S    S                                  R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.12      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.8       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.8                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.8  6.7  6.6  6.6  6.6  7.0  7.5  7.7  7.5  7.2  7.1  6.7  6.5  6.9  7.2  7.4


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   50   45   35   30   35   25   35   35   45   35   30   30   30   20   15   10
TEMPERATURE        31   31   32   34   32   32   35   38   39   34   32   32   31   31   34   38   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  40                  30                  39
WIND DIR            E   SE    E   NE   NE   NE   NE   NE   NE    N    N    N   NW   NW    W   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         11   19   17   13   13   12    9    5    8    9    8    8   10   11   13   13   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    50   20    5    5   10   10   10   10   20   20   10   10    5    5    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE         S    S                                  S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.13      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 1.2       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          1.2                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.8  6.8  6.6  6.7  6.8  7.0  7.5  7.7  7.4  7.2  7.0  6.6  6.4  6.9  7.2  7.4


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   50   40   30   30   45   30   30   40   40   30   25   25   25   10   15   10
TEMPERATURE        23   23   23   23   24   24   28   28   28   24   23   23   23   22   26   27   26
MIN/MAX TEMP                           23                  28                  22                  28
WIND DIR            E   SE    E    E   NE   NE    E    E    E   NE   NE    N    N   NW    N    N    N
WIND (MPH)         19   25   21   14   16   18   12    9   11   14   16   16   18   24   27   29   32
WIND GUST (MPH)         43                                                          58   64   73   77
PRECIP PROB (%)    50   20    5    0   10   10   10   10   20   20   10   10    5    5    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE         S    S                                  S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.19      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 2.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          2.1                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.6  6.8  6.7  6.6  6.6  6.7  7.1  7.6  7.7  7.5  7.2  7.1  6.7  6.5  7.0  7.2  7.4


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   50   40   30   35   55   30   25   45   45   30   30   25   20   15   10    5
TEMPERATURE        32   32   32   33   32   31   34   40   41   37   34   33   32   32   38   42   41
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  41                  32                  42
WIND DIR            E    E   NE   NE   NE   NE   NE   NE    N   NW   NW   NW   NW    W    W    W   NW
WIND (MPH)          9   16   13   13   16   12    6    9    9   10   11   12   12   10   10   10   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    40   10    5    5   10   10   10   10   20   20   20   20    5    5    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE         S                                       S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.05      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.3       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.3                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.6  6.8  6.7  6.5  6.4  6.2  6.7  7.3  7.6  7.3  7.0  7.0  6.7  6.5  6.9  7.3  7.5


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        OV   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    75   50   35   20   35   30   15   25   35   35   40   30   35   30   25   20   15
TEMPERATURE        38   36   38   38   35   37   42   47   47   41   38   37   36   37   43   47   47
MIN/MAX TEMP                           33                  49                  35                  48
WIND DIR            E    E   SE   NE    N    N    N    N    N   NW    N    W   SW    W   SW    W    W
WIND (MPH)          4    6    9    5    5    4    6    5    5    4    3    3    4    2    3    4    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    60   30    5    5   10   10   10   10   20   20   10   10    5    5    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE         R    R                                  R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.07      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  6.7  6.8  6.7  6.6  6.5  6.7  7.3  7.6  7.4  7.2  7.0  6.7  6.6  6.9  7.3  7.5


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    70   45   40   25   35   40   20   20   30   30   25   20   20   25   15   10    5
TEMPERATURE        36   34   35   34   34   36   38   42   42   37   34   34   33   35   39   43   43
MIN/MAX TEMP                           32                  42                  31                  43
WIND DIR            E   SE   NE    N   NE   NE    N    N    N    N    N    N   NW    W    W   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         10   11    9    8    9    9    6    8   10    9    8    6    6    8   10   10   10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    50   20    5    5   10   10   10   10   20   20   10   10    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE         S    S                                  R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.07      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.4       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.4                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  6.6  6.7  6.5  6.4  6.3  6.8  7.3  7.5  7.5  7.2  7.0  6.8  6.7  7.0  7.3  7.4


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   60   55   50   50   50   20   10   10   20   10    5   10   10    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        36   35   34   34   33   33   37   43   44   37   34   32   31   32   40   43   42
MIN/MAX TEMP                           33                  44                  30                  44
WIND DIR            E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    N   SW    W    W   NW
WIND (MPH)         23   23   20   19   17   17   14    8    8    9    8    6    9   11   12   12   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.2  6.0  5.9  5.7  5.5  6.3  7.1  7.3  6.8  6.9  6.8  6.5  6.4  6.8  7.1  7.3


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    40   55   50   50   50   40   20   15   10   20   10   10   10    5    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        35   33   32   32   32   32   36   41   42   36   32   31   30   30   39   43   41
MIN/MAX TEMP                           32                  42                  29                  43
WIND DIR            E    E   NE    E   NE   NE    E   NE   NE   NE   NE   NE   NW    W    W   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         21   20   18   17   16   13   10    8   10   11    8    8   10   11   12   12   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.6  6.3  6.1  5.9  5.7  5.6  6.4  7.1  7.3  6.8  6.9  6.9  6.5  6.3  6.8  7.2  7.3


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   30   30   25   35   45   25   15    5   10   15   10   10   10    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        40   38   37   37   35   35   40   47   47   41   36   34   32   31   42   45   44
MIN/MAX TEMP                           35                  48                  30                  46
WIND DIR            E    E   NE   NE   NE   NE    E   NE   NE   NE   NE    N    W   NW    W   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         11   18   18   14   13   13   11    8    5    5    6    6    6    4    5    5    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE         S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.6  6.6  6.3  6.2  5.8  5.6  6.4  7.1  7.4  7.2  7.0  6.9  6.6  6.5  6.7  7.1  7.2


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    30   20   25   20   25   30   15   15   15   15   10    5   10   10    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        35   34   34   34   34   33   37   42   42   36   33   33   32   32   39   41   40
MIN/MAX TEMP                           33                  42                  31                  42
WIND DIR            E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E   NE    E    E    E    S   SW    W   NW    W
WIND (MPH)         17   19   17   16   14   13    8    6    6    8    9    8    9   11   12   13   13
WIND GUST (MPH)         43   34   33
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    0    0    5    5    5    0    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE         S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.4  6.2  6.2  6.0  5.8  5.6  6.4  7.1  7.3  7.0  6.9  6.8  6.5  6.4  6.7  7.1  7.2


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   15   30   20   25   20   15   10   15   15    5    5   10    5    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        36   34   33   33   33   33   37   43   43   36   33   32   32   31   39   42   41
MIN/MAX TEMP                           33                  43                  31                  42
WIND DIR            E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E   SE   SE    S    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         19   17   16   14   13   12    8    6    6    8    8    6    9   11   12   13   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    0    0    5    5    5    0    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  6.1  6.1  5.9  5.8  5.6  6.5  7.1  7.3  6.9  6.9  6.7  6.5  6.3  6.7  7.1  7.2


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                                        TUESDAY 10/14/25                        WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    35   20   20   25   25   25   20   10   10   10   15    5   10   10    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        34   34   34   35   35   34   38   42   42   37   36   36   35   34   40   42   40
MIN/MAX TEMP                           34                  43                  34                  42
WIND DIR            E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    N    N   NE   NW   NW    W    W   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         12   19   21   12    9    9    5    5    5    5    6    8    8   11   12   13   13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE         S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.7  6.6  6.5  6.5  6.4  6.6  7.2  7.5  7.4  7.3  7.1  6.7  6.5  6.6  7.0  7.1

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN