Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
872
FNUS54 KMEG 202131
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Wetting rain chances persist through Friday, limiting the overall
fire weather threat. MinRH values will remain above 50% through
the remainder of the period with additional rain chances
returning next week.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-211000-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Cloudy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 90 70 40 10
Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.23 0.11 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 9 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 58 (+4) 73 (+10) 53 63
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+2) 77 (-16) 100 66
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8 G17 N 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 9 G18 SW 5 N 7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1900 2500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2100 2800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 N 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 4200 4800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69 58
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 9 N 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 20 N 15
Dispersion Index 10 33 11 30
Stability Class D C F C
Stagnation Index 1 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 76 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-211000-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 70 50 30 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.10 0.04 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 5 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+4) 76 (+4) 57 69
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 75 (-13) 100 68
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 NW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 Lgt/Var N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2200 2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2400 3100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 N 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 5600 6000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70 62
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 N 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 17 N 12
Dispersion Index 10 37 10 28
Stability Class D C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum
RH 77 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
67 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-211000-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 90 70 80 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.14 0.11 0.14 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 9 4 7
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 58 (+4) 72 (+7) 53 63
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 79 (-14) 100 66
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 N 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 8 G17 SW 4 N 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 400 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1400 2100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1800 2500
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 N 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 4800 4000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 58
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 9 N 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 21 N 13
Dispersion Index 8 32 12 25
Stability Class D C E C
Stagnation Index 2 3 2 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-211000-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 70 60 60 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.06 0.05 0.14 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 5 4 6
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+2) 73 (+3) 56 67
RH % (24h trend) 100 (0) 78 (-11) 100 67
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 7 NW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 8 G17 SW 4 N 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1600 2100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2000 2500
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 N 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 4800 4000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69 62
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 8 NW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 19 NW 14
Dispersion Index 9 36 11 24
Stability Class D C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-211000-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 50 60 30 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.04 0.10 0.09 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-2) 77 (+1) 58 73
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+3) 75 (-4) 100 58
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 7 NW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 Lgt/Var N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2100 3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2400 3500
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 N 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 5600 5500
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70 65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 NW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 15 NW 10
Dispersion Index 11 37 10 26
Stability Class D C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-211000-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 30 70 50 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.02 0.19 0.14 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 5 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-1) 74 (-2) 58 75
RH % (24h trend) 100 (0) 74 (-1) 100 53
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var NW 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 400 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1400 3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1800 4000
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 NW 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 4200 6000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69 67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 NW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 16 NW 11
Dispersion Index 9 29 10 31
Stability Class D C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$