474
FXUS64 KLZK 011125
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
625 AM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 219 AM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

-A Heat Advisory will be in effect today across eastern Arkansas,
 a large part of central Arkansas, the Arkansas River Valley, and
 a portion of west-central Arkansas

-Hot and dry conditions continue through the remainder of the work
 week before low, isolated chances for a few showers and
 thunderstorms return to parts of Arkansas over the weekend

-Despite low chances for precipitation, do not expect much, if any
 change of temperature trends as hot and dry conditions will
 prevail overall

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 219 AM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

TUESDAY (TODAY) through THURSDAY:

The upper level ridge continues to persist over Arkansas which will
favor the continued trend of hot and dry conditions. Tropical Storm
Edouard is expected to make landfall this afternoon along the
coastline between the Houston/Galveston metro and the
Texas/Louisiana border. However, this topical feature is expected to
have no bearing upon the weather conditions across Arkansas due to
the weak tropical system and competing solidified center of the
ridge over Arkansas which has been providing a source of dry-air
entrainment or weakening the tropical system overall. Additionally,
the remnants of the tropical system are expected to remain on a
northwesterly course as it enters Texas and approaches the I-35
corridor in central Texas before dissipating altogether.

Expect hot and dry conditions to continue across Arkansas with no
relief forecast from the eventual remnants of Tropical Storm Edouard
which will remain well west of the state.

FRIDAY through MONDAY:

The upper level ridge broadens over the entire region, from over the
Southern Plains region of the CONUS extending eastward to over the
Southeastern region of the CONUS, this includes remaining over
Arkansas. The strongest or center portion of the upper level ridge
will transition over this period from over the Southeastern region
of the CONUS back westward over the Southern Plains region of the
CONUS. Arkansas will remain under the ridge and not much chance in
temperatures are expected. However, the combination of a stationary
boundary positioned across the Mid-West region of the CONUS and a
center of surface high pressure positioned across the Mid-Atlantic
region of the CONUS will provide southerly moisture return at the
surface which may coerce a few isolated showers or thunderstorms,
but POPs or chances overall remain very low in the 10% to 30% range
and would likely impact southern portions of the state.

Expect hot and dry conditions to continue overall with very low
chances for a few isolated showers and thunderstorms over this
period, with those limited chances being reserved to southern
Arkansas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

Expect VFR flight category for the entire forecast period from
Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning across all TAF sites. Hot
and dry conditions will continue to be present across Arkansas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR    101  76 101  77 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         98  74  97  74 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       96  74  95  74 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    99  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  99  77  99  78 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     96  76  96  76 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      98  72  97  72 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  97  73  96  73 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     97  74  97  74 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         98  74  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      98  76  98  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for
ARZ007-008-016-017-025-031>034-039-042>047-054>057-064-065-069-
121-122-130-138-230-238.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74