Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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636 FXUS12 KWNC 191232 POELTL TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM UTC THU 19 SEP 2024 VALID: SEPTEMBER - NOVEMBER 2025 ...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 43.9 41.6 42.3 42.9 43.6 44.1 44.6 45.0 45.4 45.9 46.4 47.1 47.7 48.4 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 48.0 45.8 46.4 47.0 47.7 48.1 48.6 49.0 49.3 49.8 50.3 50.9 51.5 52.1 3. N NEW YORK 47.6 45.5 46.1 46.7 47.3 47.8 48.3 48.7 49.1 49.5 50.0 50.7 51.3 51.9 4. S NEW ENGLAND 52.0 50.0 50.6 51.1 51.8 52.2 52.6 53.0 53.4 53.8 54.2 54.9 55.4 56.0 5. E GRT LAKES 50.3 48.1 48.7 49.3 50.0 50.5 50.9 51.3 51.7 52.1 52.6 53.3 53.8 54.5 6. OHIO 53.7 50.6 51.3 52.0 52.7 53.3 53.7 54.2 54.6 55.1 55.6 56.4 57.0 57.7 7. MID-ATL COAST 56.4 54.4 55.0 55.5 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.6 58.0 58.4 59.0 59.5 60.1 8. N APPALACHNS 51.4 49.5 50.0 50.5 51.0 51.5 51.8 52.2 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.9 54.4 54.9 9. CENT APPALACHNS 54.1 51.2 51.8 52.4 53.1 53.6 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.7 56.4 57.0 57.6 10. COASTL VIRG 59.8 57.5 58.1 58.6 59.2 59.6 60.0 60.3 60.7 61.1 61.5 62.1 62.6 63.2 11. S APPALACHNS 56.6 53.5 54.2 54.8 55.4 55.9 56.4 56.7 57.2 57.6 58.1 58.8 59.3 60.0 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 64.3 62.0 62.6 63.1 63.7 64.1 64.5 64.8 65.2 65.5 66.0 66.6 67.1 67.7 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 61.5 58.7 59.3 59.9 60.5 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.1 62.5 63.0 63.7 64.2 64.8 14. UPPER MICH 45.5 41.8 42.7 43.4 44.4 45.0 45.6 46.2 46.7 47.3 48.0 48.9 49.6 50.5 15. N MINN 42.3 37.3 38.4 39.4 40.5 41.4 42.1 42.7 43.4 44.1 45.0 46.1 47.1 48.2 16. E NORTH DAK 42.8 37.5 38.6 39.6 40.8 41.6 42.3 43.0 43.7 44.5 45.3 46.5 47.5 48.6 17. W NORTH DAK 43.1 38.3 39.3 40.2 41.2 42.0 42.7 43.3 44.0 44.6 45.4 46.5 47.4 48.4 18. E MONT 44.3 40.0 40.9 41.7 42.7 43.4 44.0 44.6 45.2 45.8 46.5 47.5 48.3 49.2 19. N-CENT MONT 43.4 39.5 40.4 41.2 42.1 42.7 43.3 43.8 44.3 44.9 45.6 46.5 47.2 48.1 20. S-CENT MONT 44.7 41.5 42.2 42.9 43.7 44.3 44.8 45.3 45.7 46.2 46.8 47.6 48.3 49.1 21. W MONT 42.8 40.3 40.9 41.4 42.1 42.6 43.0 43.3 43.7 44.1 44.6 45.2 45.8 46.3 22. N-CENT MICH 49.1 45.7 46.5 47.2 48.1 48.7 49.3 49.8 50.3 50.8 51.4 52.3 53.0 53.8 23. S MICH 51.8 48.7 49.4 50.1 50.9 51.5 51.9 52.4 52.9 53.3 53.9 54.7 55.4 56.1 24. E-CENT ILL 54.1 50.3 51.2 51.9 52.7 53.4 53.9 54.4 54.9 55.4 56.1 56.9 57.7 58.5 25. N ILL 50.5 46.7 47.5 48.3 49.3 50.0 50.5 51.1 51.6 52.2 52.9 53.8 54.6 55.5 26. N WISC 45.6 41.3 42.3 43.1 44.2 45.0 45.6 46.2 46.9 47.5 48.3 49.4 50.2 51.2 27. SE MINN 46.7 42.0 43.1 44.0 45.1 45.9 46.6 47.2 47.9 48.5 49.3 50.5 51.4 52.4 28. E SOUTH DAK 46.1 41.6 42.6 43.5 44.5 45.3 45.9 46.5 47.1 47.8 48.5 49.6 50.5 51.4 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 47.5 43.1 44.0 44.9 45.9 46.6 47.2 47.8 48.4 49.0 49.8 50.8 51.6 52.5 30. W SOUTH DAK 47.0 43.0 43.9 44.7 45.6 46.3 46.8 47.4 47.9 48.5 49.2 50.1 50.9 51.7 31. NE WYOMING 45.3 41.9 42.7 43.4 44.2 44.8 45.4 45.8 46.3 46.9 47.5 48.3 49.0 49.8 32. NW WYOMING 42.8 39.8 40.5 41.1 41.9 42.5 43.0 43.4 43.8 44.3 44.9 45.7 46.3 47.0 33. E IOWA 50.4 46.3 47.2 48.0 49.0 49.7 50.3 50.8 51.4 52.0 52.7 53.7 54.5 55.4 34. NW IOWA 49.5 45.4 46.3 47.1 48.1 48.8 49.4 49.9 50.5 51.1 51.8 52.7 53.5 54.4 35. CENT NEBRASKA 50.0 46.2 47.0 47.7 48.6 49.3 49.8 50.3 50.9 51.4 52.1 53.0 53.7 54.5 36. S NEBRASKA 51.9 48.1 48.9 49.7 50.6 51.2 51.8 52.3 52.8 53.4 54.0 55.0 55.7 56.5 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 47.6 44.4 45.2 45.8 46.6 47.1 47.6 48.1 48.5 49.0 49.6 50.3 51.0 51.7 38. E KENTUCKY 56.3 53.2 53.9 54.5 55.2 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.4 57.9 58.6 59.2 59.8 39. W KENTUCKY 57.9 54.5 55.3 55.9 56.6 57.2 57.7 58.1 58.5 59.0 59.6 60.3 61.0 61.7 40. SE MISSOURI 57.6 54.1 54.8 55.5 56.3 56.9 57.4 57.9 58.4 58.9 59.5 60.3 61.0 61.8 41. NE MISSOURI 55.2 51.6 52.4 53.1 53.9 54.6 55.1 55.6 56.1 56.6 57.2 58.1 58.8 59.6 42. NW MISSOURI 55.6 52.0 52.8 53.5 54.3 54.9 55.5 55.9 56.4 57.0 57.6 58.4 59.1 59.9 43. E KANSAS 57.7 54.3 55.0 55.7 56.5 57.1 57.6 58.1 58.6 59.1 59.7 60.5 61.2 61.9 44. CENT KANSAS 56.3 52.7 53.5 54.2 55.1 55.7 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.8 58.4 59.2 59.9 60.7 45. W KANSAS 55.2 51.9 52.7 53.3 54.1 54.7 55.2 55.7 56.2 56.7 57.2 58.0 58.7 59.5 46. NE COLO 48.1 45.0 45.7 46.3 47.1 47.7 48.2 48.6 49.0 49.5 50.1 50.8 51.5 52.2 47. SE COLO 49.7 46.7 47.4 48.1 48.8 49.4 49.9 50.3 50.8 51.2 51.8 52.5 53.2 53.9 48. W COLO 45.5 43.0 43.6 44.2 44.9 45.4 45.8 46.2 46.6 47.1 47.6 48.3 48.8 49.5 49. SW WYOMING 41.5 38.3 39.0 39.7 40.5 41.2 41.7 42.1 42.6 43.1 43.7 44.5 45.2 46.0 50. CENT TENN 59.4 56.2 56.9 57.5 58.2 58.8 59.2 59.7 60.1 60.6 61.1 61.9 62.5 63.2 51. W TENN 61.7 58.4 59.2 59.8 60.5 61.1 61.6 62.0 62.5 62.9 63.5 64.3 64.9 65.6 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 59.8 56.6 57.3 57.9 58.7 59.3 59.8 60.2 60.7 61.2 61.7 62.5 63.1 63.9 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 61.3 58.1 58.8 59.5 60.3 60.8 61.3 61.8 62.2 62.7 63.3 64.1 64.7 65.5 54. TX W OF ABILENE 63.5 60.7 61.4 62.0 62.7 63.2 63.7 64.1 64.6 65.0 65.5 66.3 66.9 67.6 55. N HI PLAINS TX 59.3 56.5 57.2 57.8 58.6 59.1 59.6 60.0 60.5 60.9 61.5 62.2 62.8 63.5 56. N GEORGIA 63.2 60.3 60.9 61.5 62.2 62.7 63.1 63.5 63.9 64.3 64.8 65.5 66.1 66.7 57. N ALABAMA 63.4 60.3 61.0 61.6 62.3 62.9 63.3 63.8 64.2 64.7 65.2 66.0 66.6 67.3 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 65.3 62.4 63.1 63.7 64.4 65.0 65.4 65.9 66.3 66.8 67.3 68.0 68.6 69.3 59. S ARKANSAS 64.3 61.5 62.1 62.7 63.4 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.2 65.7 66.2 66.9 67.5 68.2 60. E TX 66.8 64.1 64.8 65.4 66.1 66.6 67.0 67.4 67.8 68.2 68.8 69.5 70.0 70.7 61. DALLAS REG TX 66.4 63.9 64.5 65.1 65.8 66.3 66.7 67.1 67.4 67.9 68.3 69.0 69.6 70.2 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 71.1 69.2 69.8 70.3 70.8 71.3 71.6 72.0 72.3 72.7 73.1 73.7 74.2 74.7 63. FAR S TX 73.5 71.9 72.4 72.8 73.3 73.7 74.0 74.3 74.6 74.9 75.3 75.8 76.3 76.7 64. W-CENT TX 66.7 65.0 65.5 65.9 66.5 66.9 67.2 67.5 67.8 68.2 68.6 69.1 69.6 70.1 65. W TX PANHANDLE 65.1 62.8 63.5 64.0 64.7 65.3 65.7 66.1 66.5 66.9 67.4 68.1 68.7 69.3 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 68.8 66.6 67.2 67.7 68.3 68.8 69.2 69.5 69.9 70.3 70.7 71.3 71.8 72.4 67. CENT FLA 74.7 72.8 73.3 73.8 74.4 74.8 75.2 75.5 75.9 76.3 76.7 77.3 77.8 78.3 68. S FLA 77.2 75.6 76.0 76.4 76.9 77.3 77.6 77.9 78.2 78.5 78.9 79.4 79.8 80.3 69. FLA PANHANDLE 67.5 65.2 65.8 66.4 67.0 67.5 67.9 68.3 68.7 69.1 69.6 70.2 70.8 71.4 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 69.1 67.0 67.6 68.1 68.7 69.2 69.6 69.9 70.3 70.6 71.1 71.7 72.2 72.8 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 70.1 68.1 68.6 69.1 69.7 70.2 70.5 70.9 71.2 71.6 72.1 72.7 73.2 73.7 72. NW WASH 46.8 44.7 45.2 45.6 46.2 46.6 46.9 47.2 47.6 47.9 48.3 48.8 49.3 49.8 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 47.7 45.8 46.3 46.8 47.3 47.7 48.1 48.4 48.7 49.0 49.4 50.0 50.4 51.0 74. CENT WASH 50.0 48.1 48.5 49.0 49.5 49.8 50.2 50.4 50.7 51.0 51.4 51.9 52.3 52.8 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 50.0 48.3 48.7 49.1 49.5 49.8 50.1 50.3 50.6 50.8 51.2 51.6 52.0 52.3 76. COASTL WASH 51.3 49.7 50.1 50.4 50.8 51.1 51.3 51.6 51.8 52.1 52.3 52.8 53.1 53.5 77. E IDAHO 45.4 42.9 43.6 44.1 44.8 45.3 45.7 46.1 46.5 46.9 47.4 48.1 48.7 49.3 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 43.9 42.1 42.6 43.0 43.6 44.0 44.3 44.6 44.9 45.2 45.6 46.1 46.5 47.0 79. SW IDAHO 49.9 48.1 48.6 49.1 49.7 50.1 50.4 50.7 51.1 51.4 51.8 52.4 52.9 53.4 80. E OREG 47.7 45.8 46.4 46.8 47.4 47.8 48.1 48.4 48.8 49.1 49.5 50.0 50.5 51.0 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 53.3 51.5 51.9 52.3 52.8 53.2 53.5 53.7 54.0 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.5 56.0 82. OREG COAST 53.5 52.0 52.4 52.7 53.1 53.4 53.7 53.9 54.1 54.4 54.7 55.1 55.5 55.8 83. NE UTAH 47.1 44.5 45.2 45.8 46.5 47.0 47.5 47.9 48.3 48.8 49.3 50.0 50.6 51.3 84. SE UTAH 53.1 50.8 51.5 52.0 52.6 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.3 54.7 55.2 55.8 56.3 57.0 85. W UTAH 50.2 47.8 48.5 49.0 49.8 50.3 50.7 51.1 51.5 52.0 52.5 53.2 53.8 54.5 86. NE NEVADA 46.4 44.2 44.9 45.4 46.1 46.6 47.0 47.4 47.8 48.3 48.8 49.4 50.0 50.7 87. NW NEVADA 50.2 48.2 48.8 49.3 50.0 50.5 50.9 51.2 51.6 52.0 52.5 53.1 53.7 54.3 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 58.1 55.7 56.3 56.9 57.6 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.8 60.3 61.0 61.6 62.2 89. N CALIF COAST 57.2 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.6 57.9 58.2 58.5 59.0 59.3 59.7 90. CENT NEVADA 52.2 50.0 50.7 51.2 52.0 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.8 54.2 54.7 55.4 56.0 56.7 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 62.4 59.8 60.5 61.0 61.8 62.3 62.7 63.1 63.5 64.0 64.5 65.2 65.8 66.4 92. CENT CALIF COAST 61.0 58.7 59.3 59.7 60.3 60.7 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.1 62.5 63.1 63.5 64.1 93. S CALIF COAST 65.0 62.7 63.2 63.7 64.3 64.8 65.2 65.5 65.9 66.3 66.7 67.3 67.8 68.4 94. SE CALIF 67.6 64.9 65.7 66.3 67.1 67.7 68.2 68.6 69.1 69.6 70.1 70.9 71.6 72.3 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 66.9 64.8 65.4 65.9 66.6 67.1 67.5 67.9 68.3 68.7 69.2 69.9 70.4 71.1 96. SW ARIZONA 70.4 68.3 68.9 69.4 70.1 70.5 70.9 71.3 71.7 72.1 72.6 73.2 73.7 74.3 97. NE ARIZONA 53.1 51.2 51.8 52.3 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.0 54.3 54.7 55.2 55.8 56.2 56.8 98. SE ARIZONA 65.4 63.1 63.7 64.3 65.0 65.5 65.9 66.3 66.7 67.2 67.7 68.4 68.9 69.6 99. N NEW MEX 48.1 45.6 46.2 46.8 47.5 48.0 48.4 48.8 49.2 49.6 50.1 50.8 51.4 52.0 100. E NEW MEX 58.5 55.9 56.6 57.2 57.9 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.8 60.2 60.7 61.5 62.1 62.7 101. CENT NEW MEX 53.0 50.8 51.4 52.0 52.6 53.1 53.5 53.8 54.2 54.6 55.1 55.7 56.2 56.8 102. S NEW MEX 60.6 58.5 59.1 59.6 60.3 60.7 61.1 61.5 61.9 62.3 62.7 63.4 63.9 64.5 $$ $$