Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
972 FXUS65 KLKN 190728 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1228 AM PDT Tue Aug 19 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1153 PM PDT Mon Aug 18 2025 * Critical fire weather conditions for parts of Northern and Central Nevada today * A warming trend is expected Thursday and Friday * Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses Friday * A few strong thunderstorms possible each afternoon and evening Thursday through Monday && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Monday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper-level area of high pressure will remain parked over the Four Corners region of the United States today through Friday. This anticyclone aloft will shift southward this weekend into early next week. Breezy conditions are expected across parts of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening. Isolated, dry thunderstorms are anticipated Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening. A mix of wet and dry thunderstorms are expected each afternoon and evening Friday through Monday. High temperatures will remain above seasonal values both this afternoon and Wednesday afternoon. A warming trend is expected Thursday and Friday. By Friday afternoon, maximum temperatures will be six to eight degrees above normal for this time of year. This type of heat will result in a moderate risk for heat-related illnesses. Although heat events like this are relatively common and happen many times a year, heat-related impacts are possible for those new to the area if simple precautions are not taken. A Heat Advisory may be required for Friday. A downward temperature trend is anticipated Saturday through Monday. By Monday afternoon, high temperatures will be near seasonal values. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence in critical fire weather conditions for portions of Northern and Central Nevada today. High forecast confidence regarding a warming trend Thursday and Friday. High forecast confidence in a moderate risk for heat-related illnesses Friday. Moderate forecast confidence regarding thunderstorm development each afternoon and evening Thursday through Monday. Used wind gust output from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh computer model in the first 48 hours of the forecast. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions are forecast for at all terminals through Tuesday. Winds Tuesday will be out of the West to Southwest at 10KT to 20KT with gusts up to 30KT possible, under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. && .FIRE WEATHER... Critical fire weather conditions are anticipated in portions of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and this evening due to south to southwest wind gusts near 30 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 6 percent. Isolated, dry thunderstorms are expected Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening. A mix of wet and dry thunderstorms are anticipated each afternoon and evening Friday through Monday. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 10 PM PDT Tuesday NVZ427-438-469. && $$ DISCUSSION...87 AVIATION...98 FIRE WEATHER...87