598
FNUS53 KLBF 092006
FWFLBF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western
and North Central for Nebraska
National Weather Service North Platte NE
306 PM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8PM CDT/7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A frontal boundary is draped northwest to southeast across
Nebraska from near the Pine Ridge down through Custer county with
a broad corridor of somewhat unstable air either side of the
boundary. This is allowing scattered showers to develop and have
seen some lightning activity mainly upstream in South Dakota.
Expect this activity will continue to slide southeastward across
central Nebraska before diminishing early this evening. Any dry
lightning that does occur will be capable of starting new fires,
and the environment also favors strong, gusty, and erratic winds
with any showers that do move through though little if any
precipitation will reach the ground. Outside of shower activity
conditions will remain dry and breezy until winds diminish with
loss of heating this evening and humidity increases though overall
recovery tonight will be moderate to poor.

Tomorrow will be another day featuring strong gusty winds and low
humidity though the lowest RH will be across southwest Nebraska
with the strongest winds across north central Nebraska. Despite
the less than optimal overlap expect the gusty winds will overcome
any marginal humidity and drive critical fire weather conditions
further to the northeast than RH alone would suggest. With this in
mind have issued a Fire Weather Watch for most of central and
western Nebraska for Thursday afternoon/evening and will monitor
later guidance to see if critical conditions will expand and
eventually envelop the entire region tomorrow.

While humidity will be increasing a bit with increasing potential
for showers by the end of the weekend and into the first part of
next week, the overall environment will continue to favor at least
near critical fire weather conditions each day through the middle
of next week with Sunday and Monday offering potential for strong
winds. Despite the increasing potential for precipitation any
rainfall reaching the ground will be quite light and unlikely to
provide significant relief. Will also be watching the status of
fuels closely as spring green-up progresses.



NEZ204-100200-
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
206 PM MDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........73 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-11600 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........15 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......500-5800 ft AGL until 1200, then 6000-8100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........64 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-7600 ft AGL until 2400, then 300-500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........19 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......300-2300 ft AGL until 1200, then 2400-6600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Much cooler. Breezy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 70s.

$$

NEZ210-100200-
Frenchman Basin-
206 PM MDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........79 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-11300 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph becoming northwest around
                    10 mph after midnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........14 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-5600 ft AGL until 1200, then 5900-8500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph increasing to around 30
                    mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........61 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-8100 ft AGL until 2400, then 300-500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........20 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......300-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 2900-5200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the upper 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in
the lower 70s. North winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
70s.

$$

NEZ206-100200-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
306 PM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of sprinkles early in the
                    evening.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........72 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-9900 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........17 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......500-6300 ft AGL until 1200, then 6800-9200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....29-34.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........76 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......300-8600 ft AGL until 2400, then 200-500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming east around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........20 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......200-2400 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-5200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs
in the lower 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the upper 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Cooler, breezy. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 15 to
25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 70s.

$$

NEZ219-100200-
Loess Plains-
306 PM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........79 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-11000 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph becoming northwest around
                    10 mph after midnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........16 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-6400 ft AGL until 1200, then 6800-9100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........69 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-9000 ft AGL until 2400, then 300-500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming northeast around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........19 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......300-2700 ft AGL until 1200, then 3200-5500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. North winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs around 60. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
70s.

$$

NEZ208-100200-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-
306 PM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of sprinkles early in the
                    evening.
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........67 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-10400 ft AGL until 2400, then 500-700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........20 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......500-5700 ft AGL until 1200, then 6400-8900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-8400 ft AGL until 2400, then 200-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming east around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........20 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......200-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-5200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler, breezy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Cooler, breezy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 70s.

$$

NEZ209-100200-
Loup Rivers Basin-
306 PM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of sprinkles early in the
                    evening.
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........71 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-9900 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........20 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......500-6200 ft AGL until 1200, then 6300-9400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph increasing to around 35
                    mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....29-34.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........86 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-8800 ft AGL until 2400, then 200-500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph decreasing to around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........21 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......200-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 3200-5300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to south
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the lower 80s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Cooler, breezy. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 15 to
25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 70s.

$$