Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 312019
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Hastings Brush Fire...Flagler County EM
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
419 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on July 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Hot and mostly dry conditions rest of the today with winds
light and variable, or light southwest or south about 5 mph.
Continued hot and mostly dry on Friday as well with west
and southwest flow. Only looking at about 20 percent chance of
showers or a storm rest of today and on Friday. However,
seeing a potential for maybe a little higher chance
Friday afternoon near to 25-30 percent.

Heat advisory remains in effect til 7 PM and another one
already issued for Friday. Heat index values peak about 110
both today and Friday.

Transport winds will be southwesterly both today and
Friday. Dispersion levels peak at about 56-62.

Min humidity in the upper 40s today and Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  44
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20
Chc of thdr (%).20  30
Temp............98  97
RH..............47  48
Heat index (F)..110 109
20 FT wind dir..SW  S
20 FT wind spd..5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 5.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9
Dispersion idx..56  56
LVORI...........1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45  45  42  40  38  32  27  26  27  28  26  28
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).30  30  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............96  93  90  87  84  83  82  80  80  79  77  77
RH..............49  56  62  68  74  77  79  85  88  88  94  94
Heat index (F)..107 105 101 97  92  90  89  85  86  79  77  77
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.13  13  10  9   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 2.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   8   8
Dispersion idx..46  26  7   7   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  22  17  10  12  20  22  26  23  43  36  42
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20
Temp............76  76  79  83  88  91  94  96  96  97  97  97
RH..............100 100 94  88  72  66  58  55  53  50  50  48
Heat index (F)..76  76  79  94  101 106 109 112 110 110 110 109
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   2   3   6   6   6   6   6   7   6
20 FT wind gust.3   6   6   3   6   9   9   9   9   9   10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.9 2.8 3.6 4.3 4.9 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8
Dispersion idx..4   4   9   23  34  44  52  56  61  59  55  54
LVORI...........8   8   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Shashy
Requested by...Lovie Haley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518951.0/JAX
.DELDT 07/31/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lhaley@flaglercounty.gov