Spot Forecast
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FNUS73 KILX 091119
FWSILX

Spot Forecast for Jim Edgar Panther Creek...IDNR
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
619 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (217) 732-3089 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Breezy southwest winds persist today and Tuesday, along with well
above normal to near record warm temperatures. Highs will be in
the 70s today, then near 80 on Tuesday. Wind gusts of 20 to 25 mph
will be common each afternoon, resulting in good ventilation today
and fair ventilation Tuesday. These winds will result in
increasing moisture each day, keeping minimum RH values in the
40-50% range this afternoon, then above 50% on Tuesday. The next
chance of precipitation is Tuesday PM, when strong to severe
storms are possible. A front moves across the area Tuesday night
into Wednesday, resulting in a wind shift from southwest to
northwest. The northwest winds behind the front could gust as high
as 30-35 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........57 at ignition...Max 76.
RH..................64 percent at ignition...Min 49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 15 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 10 to 12
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 24 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /30900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...Good
                    /94700 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........2      4      2      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0
Temp............57     65     72     73
RH..............64     58     49     51
20 ft wind......SW 15  SW 16  SW 16  SW 16
20 ft wind gust.24     25     25     24
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   2400   3400   4300
Transport wind..SW 24  SW 25  SW 26  SW 25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..31     54     79     95
Ventrate Cat....POOR   FAIR   GOOD   GOOD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
Temperature.........Min 57.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5500 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........15     39     46     20     13     10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).0      10     10     10     0      0
Temp............73     68     64     63     61     59
RH..............55     68     81     87     84     93
20 ft wind......S 12   S 12   S 10   SW 10  SW 10  SW 10
20 ft wind gust.18     18     18     20     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   400    400    600    800    900
Transport wind..SW 20  S 17   S 17   S 16   SW 17  SW 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..26     6      6      8      12     13
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Rain
                    showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...59 percent.
Temperature.........Max 80.
RH..................Min 54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to Fair (58800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........19     38     27     32     40     52
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     30     60
Chc of thdr (%).0      10     10     10     20     60
Temp............58     60     66     72     77     79
RH..............93     90     78     68     58     54
20 ft wind......SW 10  SW 10  SW 12  S 14   S 14   S 15
20 ft wind gust.20     20     20     23     23     24
Mix hgt (ft)....900    1100   1400   2700   3600   3700
Transport wind..S 15   S 14   SW 17  SW 17  S 18   S 18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12     13     21     42     58     59
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   FAIR   FAIR

$$
Forecaster...Deubelbeiss
Requested by...Ray Geroff
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605126.0/ILX
.DELDT 03/09/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ray.geroff@illinois.gov