304
FNUS72 KILM 300246
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for MOTSU Center Isl...DoD Army
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1046 PM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on July 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will remain above normal this week, though not near
as hot as recent days. Thunderstorm coverage will gradually rise
with the approach of a cold front that pushes through on Friday
night. Temperatures could actually wind up below normal this
coming weekend.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of thunder...50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max mixing hgt......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 16 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (44821 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Max ADI.............49.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  67  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of thdr (%).40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50
Temp............80  81  81  83  85  87  88  88  89  89  89  88
RH..............95  94  93  87  82  77  76  75  74  74  75  76
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   9   9   10  11  12  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  13  14  15  16  16  16  16  16  16
Stability.......C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C
LVORI...........6   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............10  12  20  26  35  43  48  49  49  47  44  39
Vrate mph-ft/1K.9   11  15  21  29  37  44  45  44  41  37  32
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...997 997 001 001 001 002 002 002 000 000 000 995

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 80.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
Min mixing hgt......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 15 mph early in the evening.
Min vent rate.......Poor (13036 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Min ADI.............12.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  70  70  70  70  70  72  74  76  76  76  76
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
Chc of thdr (%).50  50  50  50  50  60  60  60  60  60  60  40
Temp............87  86  85  84  84  83  83  82  82  82  81  81
RH..............79  82  85  86  88  90  90  90  90  91  92  93
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.2 0.9 M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.15  15  14  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Stability.......D   D   D
LVORI...........3   4   4   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.............17  13  12  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Vrate mph-ft/1K.24  18  13  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Sfc pres (in)...995 995 995 995 995

$$
Forecaster...Scalora
Requested by...K Crawford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518819.0/ILM
.DELDT 07/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL trent.k.crawford.civ@army.mil