331
FNUS72 KILM 211347
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Prescribed Fire...NC Forest Service
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
847 AM EST Wed Jan 21 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 EST on January 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures and moisture gradually rebound through Friday,
retreating away from critical relative humidity thresholds. Light
rain possible Friday midday and afternoon, but there are no
concerns for frozen precipitation. A winter storm likely impacts
the area Saturday and Sunday, with freezing rain and sleet being
the most probable precipitation types.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Max mixing hgt......MISSING.
Transport winds.....
Max vent rate.......MISSING.

TIME (EST)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  81  83  83
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  60  58  55
RH..............60  61  63  68
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.M   M   M   M
Vrate mph-ft/1K.M   M   M   M
Ventrate Cat....M   M   M   M

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    early in the evening, then slight chance of
                    rain in the evening. Chance of rain overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the evening.
Min mixing hgt......MISSING.
Transport winds.....
Min vent rate.......MISSING.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........82  82  80  78  76  79  82  85  83  80  78  81
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  49  48  47  46  45  44  43  41  39  37  35
RH..............76  83  85  85  83  82  80  79  80  81  84  87
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   9   10  11  12
Mix hgt (kft)...M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Vrate mph-ft/1K.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Ventrate Cat....M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    early in the morning, then chance of light
                    freezing rain and light sleet in the morning.
                    Light freezing rain and light sleet likely in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 39.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 8 mph.
Max mixing hgt......MISSING.
Transport winds.....
Max vent rate.......MISSING.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85  88  86  84  82  84  86  88  88  89  89  89
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RN  FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR
Tstm cov........
Temp............32  31  33  35  37  37  37  36  35  34  33  32
RH..............90  89  82  74  67  65  64  65  66  68  71  75
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.12  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Vrate mph-ft/1K.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Ventrate Cat....M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...Boatman
Requested by...Jonathan Spivey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600670.0/ILM
.DELDT 01/21/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jonathan.spivey@ncagr.gov