Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
873
FNUS52 KILM 151840
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
240 PM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026
.DISCUSSION...
A stalled front and weak area of low pressure across the area
will keep some rain chances through Wednesday, especially near the
coast. General rainfall amounts should only be a few tenths of an
inch or less, although there is a small chance of locally higher
amounts up to around an inch. Another cold front and potential
low pressure system will bring more showers and storms late week
with a more widespread significant rainfall possible.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-160745-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
240 PM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 30 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 20 20
Min/Max Temp 65 86 68 89
Max/Min RH (%) 81 44 94 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 4 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.05
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 71/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65800 76800
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 21 Fair 9 Poor 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 61 Good 8 Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 3 5
Max LVORI Late 4 2 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present Through Tonight.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
85 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
82 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-160745-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
240 PM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 40 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Min/Max Temp 67 86 68 89
Max/Min RH (%) 68 38 95 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.03
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0900 2000 70/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66300 84800
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor 8 Poor 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 62 Good 9 Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 3 5
Max LVORI Late 3 2 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-160745-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
240 PM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 50 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 20 20
Min/Max Temp 69 85 67 88
Max/Min RH (%) 79 45 99 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 4 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.04
Precip Duration 2 2 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 71/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61600 72000
ADI Early 8 Poor 20 Gen Poor 10 Poor 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 62 Good 9 Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 3 7
Max LVORI Late 3 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-160745-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
240 PM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 60 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20 20
Min/Max Temp 68 85 67 89
Max/Min RH (%) 70 38 98 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.04
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0900 2000 None
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74200 86400
ADI Early 7 Poor 24 Fair 9 Poor 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 74 Good 10 Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 3 6
Max LVORI Late 3 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$