Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
326
FNUS52 KILM 311845
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
245 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will remain above normal through Friday.
Thunderstorm coverage will become more widespread into Friday
with the approach of a cold front that pushes through on Friday
night. Temperatures should actually end up below normal this
coming weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-010745-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
245 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 80 80 60
Chance Thunder (%) 50 70 70 50
Min/Max Temp 75 92 70 84
Max/Min RH (%) 92 64 99 72
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var NE 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.36 0.68 0.73 0.38
Precip Duration 2 4 9 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 81/0900 1900 72/0600
Dispersion Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 3500
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40500 56000
ADI Early 9 Poor 28 Fair 7 Poor 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 9 Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability E B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-010745-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
245 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 70 70 40
Chance Thunder (%) 50 70 70 40
Min/Max Temp 75 92 70 83
Max/Min RH (%) 96 63 100 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.39 0.46 0.55 0.26
Precip Duration 3 3 7 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 80/0900 1900 71/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 3700
Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 NE 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34400 62900
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 23 Fair 7 Poor 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 9 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 7 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F A F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-010745-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
245 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 80 80 70
Chance Thunder (%) 50 70 70 50
Min/Max Temp 75 94 71 84
Max/Min RH (%) 95 58 100 78
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.17 0.82 0.82 0.42
Precip Duration 2 4 9 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 82/0900 1900 73/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 3600
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52000 54000
ADI Early 8 Poor 32 Fair 7 Poor 40 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 51 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 8 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 9 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability F A F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-010745-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
245 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 70 80 50
Chance Thunder (%) 50 70 70 50
Min/Max Temp 74 94 70 81
Max/Min RH (%) 96 57 100 73
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.28 0.40 0.55 0.28
Precip Duration 2 3 8 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 4 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 81/0900 1900 71/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 3300
Transport Wind (mph) NW 9 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47700 52800
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 30 Fair 6 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 10 Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 8 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 8 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability F A F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman