277
FXUS64 KHUN 260848
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
248 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

...New NEAR TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1010 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

 - Dangerous travel conditions due to black ice will continue
   this morning across the entire Tennessee Valley.

 - Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the entire TN Valley
   until 6 AM this morning.

 - Cold Weather Advisory in effect through Noon Today and Midnight
   tonight to 10 AM Tuesday. Wind chills of 5 below to 5 above
   zero are forecast.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 248 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Light snow/flurries continues to fall early this morning across
the Tennessee Valley, especially along the Plateau region of
northeast Alabama and southern middle Tennessee. Very minor
accumulations of a dusting to around one-quarter of an inch may
be observed across the region. However, the main story continues
to be the hazardous travel conditions from black ice that
developed earlier in the evening from freezing drizzle. This light
snow, combined with the black ice (that has formed due to the cold
temperatures) has resulted in some road closures in each county.
We don`t anticipate much improvement through the morning hours
given the cold conditions. Motorists are urged to use extreme
caution and avoid travel unless absolutely necessary.

Radar and satellite trends indicate a gradual decrease in the
light snow over the next 2-3 hours as drier air continues to work
its way into the area. Still, given the fact many locations are
still seeing light snow (combined with the slick roads/black
ice), a Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through 6 AM. By
daybreak, precipitation should wane enough to allow this product
to expire and we will continue to message the threat of black ice
through the remainder of the morning. The other story is the
bitter cold morning across the Tennessee Valley. 09z temperatures
have fallen into the mid to upper Teens across much of the
region. The combination of the low temperatures and gusty NW winds
have dropped wind chills into the -5F to 5F degree range! A Cold
Weather Advisory is in effect for the entire region through Noon
today to highlight this. Everyone is urged to remain indoors in a
heated environment, but those that must venture outdoors should
bundle up several layers and dress for the bitter cold. Highs
today will only reach the lower 20s this afternoon, with wind
chills remaining in the single digits to Teens.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1010 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Winds will finally slack Monday night as the pressure gradient gets
weaker as the high pressure builds in. And with the decrease in
cloud cover, radiational cooling will allow for temps to tank
into the single digits to slightly above. A Cold Weather Advisory
has been issued for Monday night into early Tuesday morning for
the frigid conditions. With this, Tuesday will be off to a
extremely cold start. The southwesterly winds will help temps
finally rise above freezing as high pressure further builds in on
Tuesday. Highs in the upper 30s to 40 degrees will help the
lingering icy conditions start to melt. The warmth will be short
lived as lows dip back into the teens Tuesday night and increasing
cloud cover will help temps from dipping any further.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 1010 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Northwest flow will persist aloft through Sunday, with a series of
shortwaves traversing the Tennessee Valley during this time. However,
a stout surface high pressure over the north-central CONUS looks to
quickly dive south towards Texas and the ArkLaTex Friday through
Sunday. Guidance last night showed a low chance (10-15%) of
precipitation Friday night into Saturday, and these probabilities
have dropped even lower with tonight`s new data. We`ll continue to
watch this in case trends flip the other way; but, at this time no
precipitation is forecast from Thursday through Sunday.

Temperatures will therefore be the most noteworthy aspect of the
long term forecast. Highs look to be "warmer" on Thursday, with
values expected to reach the upper 30s to lower 40s. However, with
the aforementioned upper impulses progressing over the region, highs
are forecast to drop back down into the lower to mid 30s on Friday
and Saturday. Although, temperatures then warm right back into the
upper 30s to lower 40s on Sunday. Lows each night will still be very
cold, with values in the mid teens to around 20 degrees Thursday
night plummeting into the lower to mid teens Friday and Saturday
nights. Therefore, please continue to exercise winter safety and
protect people, pets, pipes, and plants! Space heater safety is also
very important if you plan to use one to keep warm. Keep the area
around heaters clear (3 foot rule), plug them directly into outlets
(no extension cords), and don`t leave them running while you are away
or sleeping!

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1144 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

MVFR to IFR conditions will prevail overnight due to low ceilings
between 900 ft to 1500 ft. Some light snow flurries will continue
over the next 3-4 hours, before drier air finally pushes in from
the west by 12z, bringing an end to the precipitation. Have
included a TEMPO to highlight the potential for reduced
visibilities from -SN between 06-10z. Gradually low clouds will
begin to scatter out by late Monday morning. Additionally, winds
will become gusty at times between 15-20 kts out of the NW through
the day, before weakening after sunset.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 1010 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Moderate Risk for Much Below Normal Temperatures:

The Climate Prediction Center has included the entire Tennessee
Valley in a Moderate Risk for Much Below Normal Temperatures February
2-3, 2026. Therefore, there is greater than a 40% chance for
temperatures below 19-24 degrees F during this period.

More information on the CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook can be found at:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for
     ALZ001>010-016.

     Cold Weather Advisory until noon CST today for ALZ001>010-016.

     Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 10 AM CST Tuesday
     for ALZ001>010-016.

TN...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for
     TNZ076-096-097.

     Cold Weather Advisory until noon CST today for TNZ076-096-097.

     Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 10 AM CST Tuesday
     for TNZ076-096-097.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...AMP.24
SHORT TERM....JMS
LONG TERM....26
AVIATION...AMP