Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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976
FNUS53 KGRR 092037
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
337 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

...Unsettled through Monday...

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure tracking through the Great Lakes Region on Sunday
will bring showers starting late tonight and continuing on and
off through Monday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-100915-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
337 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 10 PM until 4 AM, then rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 4 PM, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 10 mph with higher gusts in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....220-360 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.16 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-510 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....910-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-100915-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
337 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1 AM until 4 AM, then rain
                    showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    until 10 AM, then a chance of rain showers
                    until 4 PM, then rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-270 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.14 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....710 (excellent) increasing to 1280 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-100915-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
337 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 10 PM until 1 AM, then rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.26 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 64-69
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 12
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest with gusts to around 26 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....240-740 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.15 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-750 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent near Lake Michigan and 63-68
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 5
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1120 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-100915-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
337 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1 AM until 4 AM, then rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.20 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    until 10 AM, then a chance of rain showers
                    until 4 PM, then rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 12 mph with higher gusts in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-490 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.18 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-510 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....750-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-100915-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
337 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 1 AM until 4 AM, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.36 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 4 PM, then partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Rain showers until 10
                    AM, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-630 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.24 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 10 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....330-450 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....780-880 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. North winds
6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. East winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Southeast
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 50s. South winds 7 to 12 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 6 to
11 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s.

$$