Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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153 FXUS62 KFFC 261847 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 247 PM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026 ...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... - Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are forecast for North and Central Georgia over the next week. Despite this, little to no meaningful improvement to ongoing drought is anticipated. - Some severe potential exists for parts of North Georgia Tuesday into Wednesday and bears watching. - Fairly seasonal temperatures (70s & 80s) are expected through at least mid-week next week, warming to well above normal by the weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 246 PM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026 A weak frontal boundary continues to slowly sag south across our extreme southern tier of counties this afternoon. An isolated stray shower of thunderstorm is not out of the question but chances remain low (< 15%). Most places can expect pleasant temperatures and dry weather through Monday given the post frontal environment. High temperatures this afternoon will climb into the low to mid 80s (70s at the higher elevations). High pressure has already begun and will continue to slide into the region from the northeast today with a CAD wedge setting up overnight. Aloft a mid-level ridge will briefly set up from the Southeast stretching up the East Coast. While temperatures are not expected to drastically fall, it will be notably cooler at least in parts of eastern GA and the higher elevations in the northeast both Monday morning and afternoon. With this forecast package elected to bring down temperatures 1-3 degrees during this period as it seemed the NBM was a hair on the warmer side given the set up that`s expected. Overnight/Morning lows are forecast to range from the low 50s in eastern GA to low 60s in areas like Columbus. Monday afternoon temperatures will climb into the mid- to-upper 70s in eastern GA (perhaps upper 60s at the higher elevations) to low 80s elsewhere. The brief respite in dry weather will be short-lived. Late Monday, a shortwave will quickly lift northeast across the Upper MidWest. At the surface, a low pressure system and surface front will quickly push across the MS Valley towards the TN Valley Region. Moisture will return to the region Monday Night into early Tuesday with increasing southerly flow ahead of this next weather system. Rain and thunder chances may begin as early as Monday Night into early Tuesday for our northwestern counties. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday morning through next Saturday) Issued at 246 PM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026 The extended periods begin Tue morning with the next frontal boundary entering NW GA just before sunrise. This boundary will spread precip across the area Tue as it moves south through the region. As this front moves into the state instability indices weaken. We will see some thunderstorms with this system but the best location for any severe storm will be across NW GA where the best instability will be located. The other big questions is how much precip will we see from this front. Right now were looking at 1" to 2" across NW GA and around 1" across the ATL area. Areas south of that will see 0.5" or less. This system will be very reminiscent of the one that went through yesterday as it weakens substantially the further south it moves. This 1st front is just the beginning as another wave is expected to move into the area Wed with another one Thu. These 2 waves will bring more shower sand thunderstorms to the area but again it does not look like we will see much in the way of severe weather. Precip wise we will see another 0.5" to 1 " across the area which should bring the 7 day total across NW GA into the 1.5" to 3" range and into the 1" to 2" range for the ATL area. Should see 1" or less across central portions of the state. Even through we are not expecting any sever outbreaks in the near future, given the dynamics we will need to keep an eye out Tue through Thu. High temperatures will be warm, but comfortable, reaching from the mid 70s to the upper 80s. Looking further out, to the end of next week. Models have been trending towards the development of a blocking pattern over the Atlantic, which would suggest further potential cooling for next weekend. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 116 PM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026 Isolated areas of MVFR still linger at the northern sites but are expected to lift to low VFR shortly persisting thereafter. Light NW to NE winds less than 7 MPH to continue until 20z when winds more fully shift to the NE. Winds increase to 5-10kts with gusts up to 20kts from 06z onward. There remains a non-zero potential for a brief period of SCT MVFR (15-25kft) between 08-12z but confidence remains low. //ATL Confidence...18Z Update... Low confidence on occurrence of brief MVFR after 06z. High confidence on remaining elements. 07 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 54 77 52 76 / 0 0 10 30 Atlanta 58 79 59 78 / 0 0 20 40 Blairsville 49 73 51 68 / 10 0 30 60 Cartersville 56 80 56 79 / 0 0 30 50 Columbus 60 83 59 85 / 0 0 10 20 Gainesville 55 75 55 73 / 0 0 20 50 Macon 57 80 55 83 / 0 0 0 10 Rome 57 81 58 80 / 0 0 40 60 Peachtree City 56 80 56 81 / 0 0 10 30 Vidalia 58 80 54 86 / 10 0 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....01 AVIATION...07