325
FXUS64 KEWX 311052
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
552 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 545 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

- Hot and mostly dry weather continues Monday.

- Increased chances for showers and storms Tuesday through Friday
  over the Coastal Plains associated with multiple disturbances
  over the Gulf.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 132 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Monday will feature hot and dry weather across South Central Texas
with high temperatures in the upper 90s for most locations, while
the Rio Grande Plains climb into the 100-104 range. Subtropical
ridging slowly slides into northern Arkansas Monday afternoon, and
underneath the high, Invest 97L will move westward. At this time,
most consensus model runs take it into southeast Texas as a weak
tropical storm sometime early Tuesday morning. Minimal impacts are
expected locally, with virtually no impacts along the I-35 Corridor
and westward. Expect continued hot and dry weather through Tuesday
for locations outside of the Coastal Plains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 132 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Increased moisture from this system will result in scattered showers
and storms for the Coastal Plains Tuesday afternoon/evening and
stretching into the day Wednesday. While we will carry PoPs for the
Austin metro, the greater chance for showers and storms will be over
the Coastal Plains through Friday morning. A second tropical wave
may move into South Central Texas Thursday/Friday, but for now,
confidence is quite low. Despite any tropical disturbances, the heat
and humidity will continue and highs will easily climb into the
upper 90s to around 100 most days through the remainder of the
forecast period. One positive thing to note is that we may finally
break free of persistent ridging by next weekend as the pattern
breaks down.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Low clouds and MVFR cigs will continue along the I-35 corridor
through early morning. Cigs should lift and scatter back to VFR
by mid morning or roughly 16Z, with VFR through the remainder of
today. Winds remain from the east and southeast through most of
the period. Low cloud development is likely again Tuesday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry             100  77 100  77 /   0   0  10  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 100  77  99  77 /   0   0  10  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            97  73  97  74 /   0   0  10   0
Del Rio Intl Airport          100  77 100  78 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        99  76  99  76 /   0   0  10  10
Hondo Muni Airport             98  73  99  73 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional  100  77  99  77 /   0   0  20  30
San Antonio Intl Airport       98  77  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport          100  76 101  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MMM
LONG TERM....MMM
AVIATION...Platt