860
FNUS74 KEPZ 290309
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Spear fire...New Mexico State forestry
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
909 PM MDT Tue Apr 28 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Another breezy to windy day expected Wednesday afternoon with 20
foot winds out of the west southwest at 15-20 mph sustained and gusts
to 25 mph. Minimum RHs will dip into the single digits at 7%. Rain
chances possible Thursday morning and will increase by Thursday
afternoon. Min RHs increase to 15% Thursday afternoon. Winds will be
lighter Thursday out of the southwest at around 10-15 mph. Rain
chances continue into Friday. Winds shift northerly Friday morning
and then northeasterly Friday afternoon and evening.


.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........7 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 8 to 15 mph with
                    gusts to around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......10500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 12 mph increasing to 26 to 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (66700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (214100
                    knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      7 AM         11 AM        3 PM
Sky (%).........58           59           71
Weather cov.....NONE         NONE         NONE
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........NONE         NONE         NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0            0            0
Temp............53           73           81
RH..............19           10           8
20 FT wind......NW 4G8       W 4G12       SW 15G30
Mix hgt (ft)....700          6700         10200
Transport wind..W 6          W 12         W 26
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1            67           235
Ventrate Cat....POOR         GOOD         EXNT

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph decreasing to around 5 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 23 to 28 mph decreasing to around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (165600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to good (74000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) early in
                    the evening.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........82           88           85
Weather cov.....NONE         NONE         NONE
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........NONE         NONE         NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0            0            10
Temp............80           69           64
RH..............8            12           15
20 FT wind......W 15G30      W 9G20       W 7G13
Mix hgt (ft)....6900         800          700
Transport wind..W 28         W 14         W 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..166          0            5
Ventrate Cat....EXNT         POOR         POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning, then chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph increasing to 9 to
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest
                    14 to 23 mph in the afternoon, then increasing
                    to around 24 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (84400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to very good (110100
                    knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to
                    excellent (152000 knot-ft) in the afternoon in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........85           80           74
Weather cov.....S CHC        S CHC        CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE         NONE         NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).20           20           40
Temp............58           65           69
RH..............21           24           25
20 FT wind......W 5G12       SW 7G14      SW 9G20
Mix hgt (ft)....700          4200         8200
Transport wind..NW 6         NW 9         SW 18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3            37           133
Ventrate Cat....POOR         POOR         VYGD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds around
9 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the upper 60s. Northeast winds around 8 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...Craig Lake ICT4
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2612036.0/EPZ
.DELDT 04/28/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clake487@gmail.com