Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
325
FNUS74 KEPZ 240057
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for RX D2 Piles...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
557 PM MST Fri Jan 23 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on January 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Low fire danger the next couple days. Rain showers will continue
on and off tomorrow through the day but will switch to snow showers
late Saturday and early Sunday morning. Precipitation chances
will end Sunday afternoon. Min RHs will be 60% Saturday dropping
to 23% Sunday. Min RHs will be near critical early in the work week.
20 foot winds will be 5-10 mph tomorrow afternoon out of the southwest
shifting northwesterly early Sunday morning with some gusty winds
transferring down to the surface from higher elevations to the west.
Light winds Sunday afternoon.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the morning, then rain showers
likely late in the morning. Rain showers in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
early in the afternoon, then becoming light
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (46700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90 90 88 88 88 90 90 90 83 83 83
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).27 45 50 70 70 90 90 90 90 90 90
Temp............28 31 37 40 44 46 46 47 46 46 43
RH..............100 100 96 96 79 71 65 63 63 60 62
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 4 4 4
20 FT wind gust.7 7 10 10 10 14 14 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.3 1.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
Transp wind spd.12 12 12 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11 12 14 17 23 38 44 47 47 47 47
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers in
the evening. Snow showers in the late evening
and overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 12.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
overnight.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph increasing to northwest
around 25 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (45300 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (14700 knot-ft) late in the
night.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........73 73 76 66 66 44
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).90 90 90 80 80 80
Temp............36 31 30 29 25 19
RH..............89 100 96 92 92 100
20 ft wind......SW 3 SW 3 SW 4 W 5 W 5 NW 5
20 ft wind gust.13 13 14 14 14 15
Mix hgt (ft)....1200 1200 1800 1800 2000 2000
Transport wind..SW 10 SW 10 W 15 W 15 NW 25 NW 25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15 15 37 37 45 45
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Chance of snow showers in
the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
early in the afternoon, then becoming light
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (92800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........18 18 4 1 1 3
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 10 10 10
Temp............13 13 27 39 42 41
RH..............100 91 50 30 23 24
20 ft wind......NW 4 NW 4 NW 4 NW 5 NW 5 NW 4
20 ft wind gust.14 14 14 16 16 16
Mix hgt (ft)....1600 1600 5300 5300 5500 5500
Transport wind..NW 19 NW 19 NW 20 NW 20 NW 16 NW 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..27 27 92 92 93 93
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 6. Highs in the mid 40s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 9. Highs in the mid 50s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 11. Highs in the mid 50s. Light winds.
$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...NMSDC
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600910.1/EPZ
.DELDT 01/23/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov,steven.seitzinger@usda.gov