343
FNUS54 KEPZ 312023
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
223 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Low fire weather concerns through Saturday. Thunderstorm coverage
becoming less through this time, mainly over the mountains and
Deming west. Risk of burn scar flooding continues into this evening,
but this threat should also decrease through Saturday. Sunday and
beyond will see much warmer temperatures and just a slight chance
of daytime mountain thunderstorms. Temperatures will climb to well
above normal. Lowland min humidities will fall back to near critical
levels, while the mountains remain above. However, no significant
non-thunderstorm winds are expected with the lowered humidity.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.



NMZ110-011315-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
223 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then slight chance of showers and
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....53-58.
*    Below 7500 ft....58-63.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....77-82.
*    Below 7500 ft....85-90.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                      in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (53700 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....54-59.
*    Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....63-68 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....78-83.
*    Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93800 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 87 to 92. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 88 to 93. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 89 to 94. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-011315-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
223 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then slight chance of showers and
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (61800 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 13000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62600 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
97 to 102. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 98 to 103. North winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-011315-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
223 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
                      Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                      after midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........73-78 percent.
*    24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (55900 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (66200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-011315-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
223 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then slight chance of showers and
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....50-55.
*    Below 7500 ft....57-62.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....73-78.
*    Below 7500 ft....80-85.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (45800 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....51-56.
*    Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....78-83 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....74-79.
*    Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89600 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 87 to 92. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-011315-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
223 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....71-73.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-97.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........21-23 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73000 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-74.
* Max humidity........52-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-99.
* Min humidity........19-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 3 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 13400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (58400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 97 to 101.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 100 to 104. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs
100 to 104. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-011315-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
223 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-72.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........61-66 percent.
*    24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-95.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70700 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-72.
* Max humidity........61-66 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (66300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to
102. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70 to 75. Highs 96 to 101.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

DH