Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
566
FNUS54 KEPZ 191246
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
546 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low fire danger today with widespread wetting rains. Scattered
thunderstorms this afternoon, especially for GNF where isolated
flooding may occur. Light south winds 5 to 10 mph. Overnight rains
expected into Thursday morning for both GNF/LNF and Rio Grande
Valley. West winds 15 to 20 mph on Thursday leading to Good
ventilation. Cooler temperatures into the weekend. Another round
of rain showers and high elevation (above 8000 feet) snow expected
Saturday night into Sunday.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-191915-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
546 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1100, then rain showers likely
and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....45-50.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
* 24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900-4800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers,
slight chance of thunderstorms and snow
showers.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....31-35.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of snow showers in
the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers and
snow showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....38-43.
* Below 7500 ft....45-50.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100-5300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 26 to 31. Highs 48 to 53. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows
30 to 35. Highs 51 to 56. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows 31 to 36. Highs 45 to 50. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-191915-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
546 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1100,
then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
rain showers. Chance of thunderstorms after
1100.
* Max temperature.....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........52-57 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900-5600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms
through the night. Rain showers likely after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....43-47.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........88-93 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the morning, then slight chance of rain
showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....53-58.
* Min humidity........51-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900-6300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (134200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. Highs in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid to upper 30s. Highs 59 to 64. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows near 40.
Highs 54 to 59. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-191915-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
546 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1100,
then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
after 1100.
* Max temperature.....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........52-57 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 36 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300-4600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (51400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers
through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....44-48.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........93-98 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....55-60.
* Min humidity........49-54 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (138600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. Highs 55 to 60.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 39. Highs 61 to 66.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows near 40. Highs 56 to 61. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-191915-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
546 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1100,
then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
rain showers.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-51.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....52-57 percent.
* 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800-5300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....30-35.
* Below 7500 ft....38-43.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....97-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of snow showers in
the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers and
snow showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....39-44.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....83-88 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300-4900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (88800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 29 to 34. Highs 50 to 55. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 30 to 35. Highs 54 to 59.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 32 to 37. Highs 48 to 53.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-191915-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
546 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
* Max temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........48-53 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3000-4400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (38400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
likely in the evening. Chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Rain showers
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....Around 50.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........88-93 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of rain
showers through the day.
* Max temperature.....59-63.
* Min humidity........40-45 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (171300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows near 40. Highs near 60. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 40. Highs in the mid to upper
60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs near 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-191915-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
546 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers until 1100Chance of rain
showers after 1100.
* Max temperature.....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........45-50 percent.
* 24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 38 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (37300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Rain showers
likely after midnight.
* Min temperature.....46-50.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........90-95 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....60-65.
* Min humidity........44-49 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (215300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs 58 to 63.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 36 to 41. Highs 64 to 69. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs 58 to 63. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
Dennhardt