Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
371
FNUS54 KEPZ 171122
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
522 AM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms (60-80% coverage over GNF/LNF
each afternoon) through Monday. Storms will be capable of sudden,
gusty winds, burn scar flooding, and new lightning starts. Min RH
40-60% with very good overnight RH recovery. Moisture and rain
chances will decrease fire weather risk over the weekend. Moisture
shifts west next week, leading to a decrease in storm coverage
Tuesday into the latter half of the week ahead. Isolated storms
will still be possible across western NM and Gila NF, but overall
drier and warmer.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-171915-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
522 AM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....78-83 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 78 to
83. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 78 to
83. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
56 to 61. Highs 78 to 83. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-171915-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
522 AM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........29-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (82700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Slight chance of showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (88700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 60s. Highs 86 to 91. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower to
mid 60s. Highs 85 to 90. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 85 to 90. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-171915-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
522 AM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 60s. Highs 86 to 91. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 87 to 92. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-171915-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
522 AM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1100, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (51200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....85-90 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (44500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with showers with thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 77 to 82. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 80 to 85. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-171915-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
522 AM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....90-94.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........27-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-92.
* Min humidity........32-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (52100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs near 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs near 90. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs near 90. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-171915-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
522 AM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (49900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........76-81 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers in the morning. Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (50800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the 60s. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 60s. Highs 85 to 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 87 to 92. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
Dennhardt