452
FOPZ11 KNHC 310842
PWSEP1

HURRICANE KARINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2026

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)  31(31)  16(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
20N 130W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  84(87)   2(89)   X(89)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  61(61)   3(64)   X(64)
20N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  36(36)   4(40)   X(40)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  65(66)  10(76)
20N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  37(37)  11(48)
20N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   8(29)

25N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  26(27)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN