Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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527
WUUS01 KWNS 311953
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2025

VALID TIME 312000Z - 011200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   39017469 39277538 39617587 39907577 40697469 40467372
       39447416 39017469
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   37780513 38330565 39300585 40020593 41200671 42370798
       42760883 43220915 44580929 45181007 45131125 45721240
       46091304 46721381 47231437 48051427 48311305 47871152
       46521017 46050908 46110721 45780561 43690239 42120134
       40350172 38960287 38580349 37930459 37780513
0.15   39280547 40370568 41450590 42090666 43070802 44820852
       45290772 45040631 44170482 42690418 41380412 40380453
       39710479 39420511 39280547
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   37057540 37107819 37837977 39288095 39688087 40417831
       40727686 41307408 41257260 40277267
0.05   32669113 31899280 31509449 32699484 34029465 35579438
       35829394 35879323 35589254 35359159 35499075 34399022
       33299052 32669113
0.05   48321306 47911158 46561023 46060906 46110725 45780563
       45040440 43720239 42090129 40360170 38940289 38470365
       37950452 37780510 38300564 40060593 41230673 42350796
       42750886 43250962 43611058 43711137 43651202 43311260
       43021272 42131319 41771409 42341638 43041691 44551728
       46141673 47191567 48051427 48321306
0.15   38387465 37947656 38157809 38987881 40277754 40677554
       40687466 40477411 40107356
0.15   44160482 41980337 40530356 39970410 39440507 40490522
       41910567 42880691 43450810 44660851 44840852 45260765
       45050640 44160482
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   45290772 45040631 44170482 41990337 40520357 39960409
       39420511 39280547 41450590 43070802 44820852 45290772
SLGT   38377463 37947654 38167808 38987880 40287751 40677554
       40687466 40477411 40097355
MRGL   32779483 35599437 35839396 35879323 35609258 35569250
       35359157 35499075 34399022 33299052 32669113 31899280
       31509449 32779483
MRGL   46141673 47191567 48051427 48311305 47911158 46551020
       46060906 46110721 45780561 43720239 42090129 40360170
       38960287 37930459 37780513 38310567 40100595 41240674
       42330792 42740884 43240967 43601056 43701142 43651201
       43321259 42831284 42131319 41771409 42341638 43041691
       44551728 46141673
MRGL   37057534 37107818 37867978 38948067 39308093 39648087
       40327869 40987562 41277409 41247260 40197268
TSTM   27149683 29019641 30029600 31659572 32679617 33329684
       33519752 33369858 33109990 33050089 33200158 33310224
       33180314 32690404 32020496 31390529 30880552 30460569
       99999999 31401258 31751272 32421298 32831312 33231285
       33621211 34051157 34571098 35540992 36490955 37710946
       39370941 40650932 41521060 42801107 42951116 43081158
       43011214 42771242 42051293 39891421 38991576 38791663
       38891796 39001892 39031997 39202050 39552094 39962101
       40212165 39792264 39722284 39922339 40782391 41822401
       42202387 42832341 43732326 44582282 45152251 45312220
       45322179 45452117 45612099 45792125 46082177 46362215
       46592245 47812249 49732196 99999999 49480924 48960522
       48320364 46280118 45590046 44769947 44359911 43659879
       42319846 41299831 39979789 38729725 38419682 38189649
       37849464 37559079 38268708 39848221 41187869 41917656
       42007465 41547224 41167022 40306918

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW
SHR 40 ENE SHR 35 ESE GCC 15 ENE BFF 30 NW AKO 45 ENE DEN 25 SSW DEN
45 SW DEN 15 NW LAR 20 E RIW 30 NE COD 50 NW SHR.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E
SBY 25 SSW NHK 20 E CHO 50 N SHD 35 W CXY ABE 25 W EWR 15 S EWR 40
SSE JFK.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW
GGG 20 N FSM 15 SE FYV 30 S HRO 40 NE RUE 40 ENE RUE 25 S BVX 25 SSW
JBR 40 W UOX 30 WSW GWO 55 E MLU 20 ENE IER 25 NE LFK 30 NNW GGG.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE
LWS 30 SSW 3TH 20 S GPI 35 SW CTB 30 NNW GTF 20 WNW 3HT 30 NW BIL 65
ENE BIL 25 NNW 4BQ 40 SE RAP 10 WNW MHN 10 SSW IML 35 WSW ITR 25 SSW
PUB 45 ENE ALS 60 SW COS 55 WSW FCL 45 SSE RWL 50 NW RWL 10 SW LND
50 NNE BPI 10 E JAC 35 ENE IDA 10 NNE IDA 30 N PIH 15 WSW PIH 40 SE
BYI 55 SSE TWF 30 NNW OWY 50 SW BOI 35 SE BKE 20 SE LWS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE
ORF 30 NNW AVC 30 E SSU 45 W EKN 25 E PKB 35 NE PKB 20 W AOO 25 NNW
ABE 25 SSW POU 30 E BDR 45 SSE ISP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE CRP 20 NNW PSX
45 SSE CLL 50 ESE CRS 40 ESE DAL 30 SSW GYI 50 N FTW 40 S SPS 50 NNW
ABI 65 NNE BGS 35 SSE LBB 35 SW LBB 35 N HOB 30 NNE CNM 15 NW GDP 40
SW GDP 80 SSW GDP 100 W MRF ...CONT... 105 S GBN 80 S GBN 40 SSW GBN
25 WSW GBN 20 NNW GBN 15 NNW PHX 50 NNE PHX 35 SSW INW 60 NE INW 75
SW CEZ 10 N 4BL 45 NNE CNY 20 NE VEL 30 NE EVW 50 WNW BPI 50 SSW JAC
40 SE IDA 25 ENE PIH 15 SE PIH 35 WSW MLD 55 NE ELY 40 SSE P68 55
NNE TPH 55 SW U31 35 SSW NFL 10 N TVL 35 NW TVL 60 W RNO 65 E RBL 30
E RBL 30 SW RBL 45 SW RBL 55 N UKI 10 E EKA 10 ENE CEC 25 ENE 4BK 40
NW MFR 25 S EUG 25 SSE SLE 30 ENE SLE 25 SE PDX 35 SW DLS 10 S DLS
10 E DLS 10 NNW DLS 45 NW DLS 55 SE OLM 35 SE OLM 25 NNW SEA 70 NNE
BLI ...CONT... 70 NNE HVR 60 NNE OLF 10 N ISN 40 SSW BIS MBG 50 ENE
PIR 40 NNE 9V9 30 ESE 9V9 15 SE ONL 20 N GRI 35 NNW CNK 20 ESE SLN
35 W EMP 20 WSW EMP 45 ENE CNU 25 SW FAM 30 ENE EVV 20 WSW ZZV 10 E
DUJ 25 SE ELM 20 NNE MSV 20 NW GON 10 SW ACK 80 SE ACK.