Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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667
FXUS64 KCRP 180633
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
133 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 131 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

- Drier conditions through next week.

- Seasonably hot conditions expected with moderate risk of heat
illness.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 131 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

A drier and more stable pattern is expected as a ridge will continue
to build over South Texas over the weekend into next week, causing
temperatures to be slightly above average and a decrease in cloud
coverage. Through early next week, winds are expected to peak in the
afternoon (10-15kts), with wind gusts approaching 25 kts.
Additionally, in the mid levels, model guidance is showing some
energy heading into South Texas. This energy could lead to a slight
increase in rain chances on Wednesday. A few sea breeze showers and
thunderstorms will be possible.

Heading into midweek, the peak winds look to simmer down a bit, with
isolated locations having wind speeds approaching 15kts, with
wind gusts topping out at 20kts. Heat index values will range from
104- 109.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

VFR conditions prevail across South Texas. Light southeasterly
winds of 5-12 knots early this morning will strengthen to 15-20
and gusts to 25 knots later this morning into afternoon. There may
be brief periods of MVFR ceilings inland between 09-15Z but
confidence is not high with coverage to make prevailing.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 131 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

A moderate (BF 4) onshore flow is forecast for the next several
days, with a fresh breeze developing along the coast south of Port
Aransas in the afternoons. By midweek next week, overall flow will
lower slightly to become more gentle to moderate (BF 3-4). Rain
chances through the period will be very low (<10%).

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 131 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Rain chances are minimal through the period. Rh values west drop to
low levels each afternoon, but winds remain below critical
thresholds and fuel moisture levels are near normal in that area.
Thus, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected through the
period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    94  79  94  76 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          94  76  95  73 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo           102  78 104  76 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             98  76  99  73 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          90  82  90  80 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           99  77 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        95  77  96  73 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       90  82  89  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...PH/DC
AVIATION...EMF/94