Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
829 FXUS64 KCRP 311752 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1252 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1246 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025 - Daily moderate to major risk of heat-related impacts. - Low rain chances mainly in the Victoria Crossroads the next few days. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1246 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025 As the mid-level ridge shifts westward and is no longer overhead, we`re seeing an increase in moisture over the area. Dewpoints inland are 3-6 degrees higher than this time yesterday and satellite derived PWAT values, while partially blocked by cloud cover, look to be approaching 2" along the coast and increasing substantially over western portions of the area. While rain chances remain quit low across the area, it`s not out of the question for a shower or storm to develop this afternoon, mainly around the Victoria Crossroads. Little in the way of upper mid-level energy will be in place tomorrow, but an uptick in energy and instability on Saturday Should lead to a bit more convection, but again mainly in the Victoria Crossroads...still looking at just low changes (20-30%). Otherwise, expect pretty consistent temperatures with highs remaining a few degrees above normal from around 90 along the coast to around 105 west. Heat risk remains mainly moderate east and major west through the weekend, then becomes more moderate by the middle of the week. Heat index values will be mainly between 105 and 110, though a location or two could pop above 110 briefly any day. Monday looks the warmest, and there may be consideration for a heat advisory that day. Ridging builds back toward the area early next week and while no organized activity is expected an isolated shower or storm could not be ruled out. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1246 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025 Mainly VFR conditions expected through this forecast period. There is an outside chance for a shower near the VCT TAF site, but chances are very low (<20%) and are not included in the TAF at this time. Winds will remain at light to just low end moderate levels. Have included a tempo MVFR to IFR condition for ALI in the morning, but think other sites should remain VFR. && .MARINE... Issued at 1246 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025 Onshore flow remains gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) through the weekend and into early next week. There is a low (10-15%) chance of showers and thunderstorms over most of the waters through early next week, but deep waters north of Port Aransas will have a slightly higher (20-30%) chances. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 76 97 76 97 / 0 10 0 10 Victoria 76 99 75 99 / 0 20 10 30 Laredo 78 105 79 105 / 0 10 0 0 Alice 73 101 74 102 / 0 10 0 10 Rockport 80 93 80 93 / 0 10 0 10 Cotulla 79 104 78 104 / 0 10 0 10 Kingsville 74 98 75 99 / 0 10 0 10 Navy Corpus 80 91 80 91 / 0 10 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...PH/83 AVIATION...PH/83