Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA
Issued by NWS Boston, MA
Versions:
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328
FNUS71 KBOX 141437
FWSBOX
Spot Forecast for Spring Pond...DCR
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1037 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 EDT on September 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.
.DISCUSSION...
A reinforcing area of high pressure will build in from the
northeast Saturday, bringing continued dry weather but with
onshore breezes. For Peabody, MA this translates to northeast
winds 10-15 mph Saturday, easing towards sunset and becoming east.
While still dry, we could see low clouds and fog develop Saturday night.
Mostly sunny and dry conditions continue into Sunday, with winds
from the southeast at 10-15 mph for the Peabody area. Above
normal temperatures are expected both weekend days.
Lowest relative humidities are expected to range between 50 to
60 percent today and Sunday.
.OUTLOOK...Monday through Thursday...
High pressure remains anchored over New England through the
middle of next week, which will continue to maintain dry weather
and above normal temperatures. There are some indications for
rainfall around later Wednesday or into Thursday but this is
still not set in stone.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Dewpoint............61.
Max apparent temp...76.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 9 to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7700 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 to 19 decreasing to 9 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......25.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14 19 25 30 29 28 26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............74 75 76 75 74 72 70
Dewpoint........62 62 62 62 62 61 62
RH..............66 64 62 64 66 68 76
Heat index (F)..74 75 76 75 74 72 70
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE E
20 FT wind spd..9 9 9 10 10 9 9
20 FT wind gust.13 14 15 15 15 14 14
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE E
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 5 6 6 5 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 8 9 9 9 8 8
Surface wnd dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE E
Surface wnd spd.9 9 9 10 10 9 9
Surface wnd gst.13 14 15 15 15 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.9
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.10 10 12 12 12 10 10
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3
ADI.............19 18 18 17 15 12 9
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13 12 13 12 11 9 8
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Ceiling (kft)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Patchy fog in the late evening and overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............59 decreasing to 56 early in the morning.
Max apparent temp...67.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 8 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................1 to 10.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......25 decreasing to 0.8 in the late evening and
overnight.
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27 28 36 54 64 70 70 70 70 70 70 70
Weather cov..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............67 65 63 62 62 61 60 60 59 60 60 60
Dewpoint........61 61 60 59 59 59 58 58 58 57 57 56
RH..............81 87 90 90 90 93 93 93 96 90 90 87
Heat index (F)..67 65 63 62 62 61 60 60 59 60 60 60
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..8 7 6 5 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.12 9 8 6 5 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.7 5 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
Surface wnd dir.E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE
Surface wnd spd.8 7 6 5 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
Surface wnd gst.12 9 8 6 5 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.E E E E SE SE E E E E NE NE
Transp wind spd.9 8 7 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........4 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 7 7 6
ADI.............10 4 3 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1
Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Ceiling (kft)...25 25 25 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming sunny. Patchy fog
early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Dewpoint............55.
Max apparent temp...73.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in
the late morning and early afternoon, then
increasing to around 8 mph late in the
afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in
the late morning and early afternoon, then
increasing to around 8 mph late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 5 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to
9 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (18400 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 to 9 increasing to 16 to 21 early in the
afternoon, then increasing to 21 to 27 late in
the afternoon decreasing to 15 late in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......0.8 increasing to 25.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast up to 5 mph in
the late morning and early afternoon, then
increasing to around 5 mph late in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70 70 68 64 60 56 40 23 7 6 5 4
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............60 61 60 64 67 71 72 73 73 72 72 70
Dewpoint........56 57 57 56 55 54 54 53 53 53 53 53
RH..............87 87 90 75 65 55 53 49 49 51 51 55
Heat index (F)..60 61 60 64 67 71 72 73 73 72 72 70
20 FT wind dir..NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 5 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 6 7 9 9 9 10 10 12 12
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 1 1 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.2 2 2 4 6 6 7 7
Surface wnd dir.NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Surface wnd spd.2 2 2 5 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
Surface wnd gst.3 3 3 6 7 9 9 9 10 10 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.1
Transp wind dir.NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.2 2 2 5 6 8 8 8 8 8 9 9
LVORI...........6 6 7 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............2 2 1 4 6 9 16 21 27 22 21 15
Haines index....2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 1 4 7 14 15 17 18 15 14 10
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Ceiling (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.8 5.0 5.0 5.0 14 15 20 20 25 25
$$
Forecaster...Nocera
Requested by...Fire 5-0, Ben Jennel
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422448.0/BOX
.DELDT 09/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ben.jennel@mass.gov