Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
105
FNUS53 KAPX 312019
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
419 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
...Quiet Weather Persists...
High pressure largely settling in for the remainder of the week into
the weekend, with north to northeast flow largely aiding in a
comfortable air mass with afternoon RHs generally in the 30-40
percent range into the weekend with highs generally 75-80F through
Friday. Could drop below 30 percent at times Friday toward
Cadillac/Wellston...and potentially over more of the interior
Saturday and Sunday as temperatures warm back into the mid 80s,
despite potential for slight increase in moisture with time. Flow
turns more westerly Friday and beyond...focusing downsloping
concerns closer to Lake Huron (as usual)...with daytime lake breezes
expected each day for both coasts. Precip chances low through the
period, but not impossible some showers could percolate along the
lake breeze Saturday afternoon.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-010815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
419 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (378).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (777).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-010815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
419 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (406).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (882).
Mixing Height.......7100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-010815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
419 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (368).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 66-71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (493).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-010815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
419 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 55-60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (438).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (435).
Mixing Height.......6800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-010815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
419 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (472).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (703).
Mixing Height.......8100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
DJC