Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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753
FNAK51 PAFC 211051
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
251 AM AKDT Mon Sep 21 2026

.DISCUSSION...

Clouds and showers persist through this afternoon as an area of
low pressure moves over the Copper River Basin. Much of the
shower activity will remain confined to the higher terrain and
across the northern and western portions of the Basin. The best
chance for showers across the Copper River Valley will be through
late this morning. Gusty southerly winds will also continue
across the valley through late tonight with the strongest gusts of
25 to 35 mph likely late this morning through early evening. Drier
and cooler conditions prevail overnight tonight into Tuesday.



AKZ741-220215-
NORTHERN COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PAXSON
251 AM AKDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  90           70           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   44-48 (-6)   28-29 (-6)   42-46
RH % (24H TREND)   73-85 (+22)  95-98 (0)    55-65
20FTWND(MPH)       S 7-11 G25   S 7-12 G24   SW 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2417                      2995
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 14                      W  7
CWR                70           40           0
TSTM COVERAGE      NONE         NONE         NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  40868                     16085

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ742-220215-
WESTERN COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...NELCHINA...TOLSONA...MENDELTNA
251 AM AKDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           40           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   48-51 (0)    29-31 (-6)   45-49
RH % (24H TREND)   62-71 (+2)   85-93 (0)    51-60
20FTWND(MPH)       S 5-15 G28   S 8-15 G27   N 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2691                      2909
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 13                      NW  6
CWR                40           10           0
TSTM COVERAGE      NONE         NONE         NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  42177                     18615

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND
50. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ743-220215-
CENTRAL COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...GAKONA...COPPER CENTER
251 AM AKDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   49-52 (-3)   27-28 (-8)   47-50
RH % (24H TREND)   66-71 (+7)   89-91 (0)    48-52
20FTWND(MPH)       S 11-20 G34  S 13-20 G32  NW 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2701                      3116
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 18                      NW  6
CWR                20           0            0
TSTM COVERAGE      NONE         NONE         NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  58280                     18601

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FREEZING FOG. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ749-220215-
SOUTHERN COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KENNY LAKE...CHITINA
251 AM AKDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           20           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   46-51 (-5)   28-30 (-7)   47-51
RH % (24H TREND)   70-79 (+17)  90-94 (0)    50-56
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 10-16 G24 SE 7-15      NW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2573                      2631
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 14                     NW  6
CWR                20           0            0
TSTM COVERAGE      NONE         NONE         NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  38733                     16049

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FREEZING FOG. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ750-220215-
TOK CUTOFF-
INCLUDING...CHISTOCHINA...SLANA...MENTASTA LAKE...NABESNA
251 AM AKDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           20           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   47-51 (-6)   26-28 (-5)   43-47
RH % (24H TREND)   51-73 (+17)  83-95 (0)    52-59
20FTWND(MPH)       W 3-10 G23   SW 4-12 G24  W 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2713                      2867
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW  9                     W  7
CWR                20           0            0
TSTM COVERAGE      NONE         NONE         NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  44085                     17128

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ751-220215-
MCCARTHY-
INCLUDING...MCCARTHY
251 AM AKDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  90           30           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   43-49 (-3)   23-27 (-8)   43-49
RH % (24H TREND)   71-82 (+7)   92-96 (0)    54-62
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 4-12 G21  SE 4-11      SE 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2316                      2519
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 10                      NW  5
CWR                50           0            0
TSTM COVERAGE      NONE         NONE         NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  47187                     10895

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FREEZING FOG. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$