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Special Weather Statement


Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
316 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-070-071-101>106-231000-
New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD-
Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-
Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-
Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-
Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-
Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-
Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Dover, Georgetown,
Rehoboth Beach, Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, Denton, Newton,
Washington, Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick,
Freehold, Sandy Hook, Trenton, Pennsville, Glassboro, Camden,
Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Millville,
Hammonton, Cape May Court House, Ocean City, Atlantic City,
Long Beach Island, Wharton State Forest, Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg,
Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook,
Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown,
Norristown, Lansdale, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville,
and Doylestown
316 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

...Increased Risk of Fire Spread on Wednesday...

There is an increased risk of fire spread Wednesday afternoon.
Relative humidity values are expected to fall to around 35 to 45
percent across much of the area. This will be combined with south
to southwest winds near 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph,
temperatures in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees, and abundant
sunshine. These conditions will support the spread of any fires
that ignite, which could quickly become difficult to control.

Outdoor burning is strongly discouraged. Be sure to properly
extinguish or dispose of any potential ignition sources,
including smoking materials such as cigarette butts. Refer to your
state`s forest fire management agency for more information on
burn restrictions in your local area.

Relative humidity values will be lower on Thursday, with stronger
winds. Burn restrictions may still be in place given the very dry
conditions and lack of any recent rainfall.

$$

MPS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Burlington VT
316 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>011-016>021-230915-
Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton-
Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle-
Western Franklin-Orleans-Essex-Western Chittenden-Lamoille-
Caledonia-Washington-Western Addison-Orange-Western Rutland-
Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden-Eastern Addison-
Eastern Rutland-Western Windsor-Eastern Windsor-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Champlain, Plattsburgh, South Colton, Star Lake, Saranac Lake,
Tupper Lake, Dannemora, Ellenburg, Lake Placid, Newcomb,
Port Henry, Ticonderoga, Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Gouverneur,
Alburgh, South Hero, St. Albans, Swanton, Derby, Newport,
Island Pond, Lunenburg, Burlington, Shelburne, Johnson, Stowe,
Hardwick, St. Johnsbury, Montpelier, Waitsfield, Middlebury,
Vergennes, Bradford, Randolph, Fair Haven, Rutland,
Enosburg Falls, Richford, Richmond, Underhill, Bristol, Ripton,
East Wallingford, Killington, Bethel, Ludlow, Springfield,
and White River Junction
316 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

...Fire Weather Concerns Exist Across Vermont and Northern New
York Tomorrow...

A combination of dry and windy conditions will create fire weather
concerns tomorrow afternoon. Fine fuels remain very dry according
to the Vermont Department of Forests, Parks and Recreation and
the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation. Low
relative humidity values of 25-35 percent and gusty southwest
winds of 20-35 mph are also expected. If any fires were to start,
the weather and fuel conditions could cause them to quickly get
out of control and be difficult to contain.

For more information about the current fire danger rating, any burn
restrictions, and wildfire prevention and education, please visit
your state forestry or environmental protection website.

$$

$$

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
316 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

RIZ001-002-232315-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-
Including the cities of Foster, Smithfield, and Providence
316 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WEDNESDAY...

Relative humidities of 40 to 50 percent are expected Wednesday
across northern Rhode Island, along with above normal
temperatures. Southwest winds are expected to be around 15 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph. When factoring in the recent lack of
rainfall, conditions favoring wildfire spread are again possible.
Use caution when handling and disposing of ignition sources.

$$

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
316 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

MAZ002>024-026-232315-
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-
Nantucket MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre,
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester,
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield,
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston,
Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, New Bedford,
Mattapoisett, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven,
Nantucket, and Ayer
316 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WEDNESDAY...

Relative humidities of 35 to 55 percent are expected Wednesday
across much of Massachusetts, along with above normal
temperatures. Southwest winds are expected to be around 15 mph
with gusts up to 30 mph. When factoring in the recent lack of
rainfall, conditions favoring wildfire spread are again possible.
Use caution when handling and disposing of ignition sources.

$$

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
256 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>071-232300-
Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-
Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-
Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
Southern Westchester-
256 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

Due to the prolonged period of dry conditions due to a lack of
rainfall there will be an elevated risk of wildfire development
on Wednesday. Relative humidities and occasional wind gusts will
contribute to the risk of wildfire development towards the late
morning and afternoon. Use caution when handling ignition sources.

$$

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1206 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

INZ005>009-012>015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-103-104-116-203-
204-216-MIZ078>081-277-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-222300-
Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-
Fulton IN-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-
Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Northern La Porte-
Eastern St. Joseph IN-Northern Kosciusko-Southern La Porte-
Western St. Joseph IN-Southern Kosciusko-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-
Branch-Hillsdale-Southern Berrien-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-
Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
Including the cities of Elkhart, Goshen, Nappanee, Lagrange,
Topeka, Shipshewana, Angola, Fremont, Kendallville, Ligonier,
Albion, Auburn, Garrett, Knox, North Judson, Bass Lake, Winamac,
Francesville, Medaryville, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver, Rochester,
Akron, Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Fort Wayne,
New Haven, Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport,
Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash,
North Manchester, Huntington, Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur,
Berne, Marion, Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier,
Portland, Dunkirk, Michigan City, La Porte, Kingsbury, Fish Lake,
South Bend, Mishawaka, Lakeville, Granger, Syracuse, Milford,
North Webster, Leesburg, Wanatah, La Crosse, Union Mills,
North Liberty, New Carlisle, Walkerton, Warsaw, Winona Lake,
Silver Lake, Mentone, Dowagiac, Cassopolis, Edwardsburg,
Marcellus, Sturgis, Three Rivers, White Pigeon, Mendon,
Coldwater, Bronson, Hillsdale, Jonesville, Litchfield, Niles,
New Buffalo, Stevensville, Berrien Springs, Bryan, Edgerton,
Wauseon, Archbold, Swanton, Delta, Defiance, Sherwood,
Hicksville, Napoleon, Deshler, Liberty Center, Paulding, Antwerp,
Payne, Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, Pandora,
Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville
1206 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 /1106 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024/

...Elevated Fire Danger Today...

WHAT...The combination of warm temperatures, breezy winds and
low relative humidity will lead to an elevated fire danger this
afternoon and early this evening as brush, grass and unharvested
fields continue to dry out.

WHERE...Across far southwest Lower Michigan, northwest Ohio and all
of northern Indiana.

WHEN... From Noon EDT to 7 PM EDT today.

IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite may spread rapidly and may become
very difficult to control, especially in areas of grass, brush
and unharvested fields.

PREPAREDNESS AND PRECAUTIONARY ACTIONS...Burning is strongly
discouraged under these conditions. Take extra care to prevent
the start of accidental fires when smoking or operating vehicles
around dry vegetation or crops. Regularly clear crop dust and
debris from combines to help prevent fires.

$$

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
1100 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024

ILZ021-023-032-033-039-107-108-INZ001-002-010-011-019-222300-
Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-Southern Will-
Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
Including the cities of Morris, Coal City, Minooka, Kankakee,
Bourbonnais, Bradley, Pontiac, Dwight, Fairbury, Watseka, Gilman,
Paxton, Gibson City, Channahon, Manhattan, Wilmington, Crete,
Peotone, Beecher, Gary, Hammond, Merrillville, Portage,
Valparaiso, Chesterton, Roselawn, Kentland, Morocco, Rensselaer,
DeMotte, Fowler, and Oxford
1100 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 /1200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024/

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

The combination of gusty southerly winds and dry conditions will
make for an elevated fire danger this afternoon, particularly for
areas east of I-55. Avoid any unnecessary burning today and
practice extra caution when discarding any burning materials.

$$

DK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
502 AM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2024

AKZ102-121-230300-
Anchorage-Western Kenai Peninsula-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian, Eklutna,
Kenai, Soldotna, Homer, and Cooper Landing
502 AM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2024

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND COMMUNITIES
ALONG THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA COAST AND KACHEMAK BAY THROUGH
TONIGHT...

Strong south-southwest wind gusts will persist across Cook Inlet
and the Anchorage Bowl through tonight as a storm system moves
through the region. Expect sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph with
gusts 45 to 55 mph at times. The strongest wind gusts are expected
from Homer, along the western Kenai Peninsula coast, and across
West Anchorage. The gusty winds are expected to gradually diminish
starting this evening.

Strong winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause
power outages. Travel may be difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.

For the latest forecast information visit https://weather.gov/afc

$$

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
439 AM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2024

AKZ155-230045-
Kuskokwim Delta-
Including the cities of Bethel and Nunivak Island
439 AM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2024

...MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM RIVER
THROUGH TONIGHT...

Strong winds and storm surge along the coast could back up flow
along the lower Kuskokwim River, leading to minor flooding or
erosion from now through tonight.

Flooding is possible along and near the Kuskokwim River, from
Bethel to the mouth of the river. This includes tributaries, low-
lying areas, and nearby Tundra villages such as Napakiak.

Any flooding that occurs along the river is UNLIKELY to be as
severe as it was for the August 17-18, 2024 event. Wind speeds
with this storm will be weaker, and water levels are about 2 feet
lower now than they were in August.

Residents should consider moving items to higher ground as a
precaution, and carefully monitor conditions in flood-prone
areas.

$$

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
252 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024

ILZ038-042>046-051>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-222300-
McLean-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Sangamon-Christian-
Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-
Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Bloomington, Normal, Lincoln, Clinton,
Monticello, Champaign, Urbana, Danville, Springfield, Taylorville,
Decatur, Sullivan, Tuscola, Charleston, Mattoon, Paris, Shelbyville,
Greenup, Marshall, Effingham, Newton, Robinson, Flora, Olney,
and Lawrenceville
252 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

South-southwesterly winds gusting 25 to 30 mph, dry fuels, and low
relative humidity near 30 percent will result in elevated fire danger
this afternoon across portions of central, east-central, and
southeast Illinois. Isolated light rain showers may reduce the
threat for some locations, but areas that do not receive rain will
have elevated fire danger through the afternoon.

Burning is discouraged under these conditions. Any fires that
develop will spread rapidly. Discard cigarettes properly and use
extra caution with farm and outdoor equipment.

$$

Erwin

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
121 PM ChST Tue Oct 22 2024

GUZ001-MPZ001>003-230330-
Guam-Rota-Tinian-Saipan-
121 PM ChST Tue Oct 22 2024

...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT TWO TROPICAL SYSTEMS WILL
MERGE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...
...MARIANAS RAIN AND WIND POTENTIAL DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL
TRACK...

Two disturbances, Invests 97W and 98W, are expected to converge
somewhere near or SE of Guam tonight or Wed before slowly becoming
better organized and heading N or NW. While showers and
thunderstorms will cluster near 97W and the eventual 97W-98W
merger, drier conditions are likely to spread in to the Marianas
from the north. By late week, as the merged disturbance becomes
better organized and heads N or NW, the potential for heavy rains
and strong gusty winds will remain highly dependent on the exact
path of the disturbance with a sharp gradient in worsened
conditions aligned near the islands.

WHAT WE KNOW:
The highest likelihood for stronger winds looks to be focused along
the eastern periphery of the merged circulation. Locally heavy
rainfall will also develop near the center, then will gradually
extend south to southwest as the circulation and ensuing southwest
monsoon develops late week

WHAT REMAINS UNANSWERED:
While model guidance continues to point to the eventual merger of the
two disturbances southeast of Guam, they still have not yet converged
on the timing, eventual track north or northwest, rate of
development, or the expanse of impactful winds and rainfall. These
conditions will become better known in the next 24 hours.

A Flood Watch remains in effect through Thursday morning. For more
information please visit:

- www.weather.gov/gum
- www.weather.gov/safety/flood

$$

Doll/B.Aydlett

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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