Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
504 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031715-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
504 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Areawide.
ONSET...Ongoing.
POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Areawide.
ONSET...Overnight.
DISCUSSION...
Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through
sundown, then diminish. The majority of precipitation will focus
across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Severe weather
is not expected, but any storms will be capable of brief heavy
rain, lightning, and gusty winds. As skies clear tonight, areas of
fog may develop, particularly for areas that saw rainfall today.
The best chance of fog will be towards northwest Arkansas.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY TO SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY TO MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop along an advancing cold
front across southern Kansas Wednesday afternoon. Some of these
storms could move into far northeast Oklahoma close to the Kansas
and Missouri borders Wednesday evening, and will pose a limited
severe wind and hail threat. These storms are expected to
dissipate by late evening.
A second cold front is forecast into the region Friday and will
eventually stall near the Red River this weekend. This front will
provide the focus for multiple rounds of showers and storms, and
an increasing potential for locally heavy rainfall by early next
week.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
710 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-040015-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
710 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
An isolated shower or two with brief heavy rain is possible over
southeast Kansas this evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
Scattered thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon through
evening, as a strong cold front moves south across the region.
Severe thunderstorms are possible, capable of large hail and
isolated strong to severe wind gusts.
Additional thunderstorms are possible late Thursday night into
Friday morning, but severe storms are not expected.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
333 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-032045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
333 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited lightning risk.
DISCUSSION...
There`s a 20 to 40 percent chance for isolated showers this
afternoon mainly for areas along/south of I-44. Some showers may
produce isolated instances of lightning. Rainfall amounts remain
light at less than a quarter to half an inch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Higher chance for thunderstorms (50 to 70 percent) along and
north of Interstate 44 as a cold front moves through Wednesday
afternoon and into the late evening. Some of these storms may be
strong to severe as a Marginal Risk for severe weather has been
issued for that area. Main threat is hail up to one inch with a
secondary threat for damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph.
Another front moves through Friday bringing another round of rain
with 30 to 60 percent chances throughout the day.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
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