Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
115 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
115 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING THREAT INTENSIFIES THROUGH SATURDAY...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas.
ONSET...Mainly late tonight.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and storms are expected to exit the area later this
afternoon. A storm or two could become strong to severe with hail and
gusty winds the concern. Another round of showers/storms moves into the
region later tonight with the potential for more strong to severe storms.
Large hail, damaging winds and brief tornado will all be possible. Heavy
rain will also be of concern as we move into Friday.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The weather pattern remains favorable for multiple rounds of
heavy rain and thunderstorms through Saturday especially from southeast
Oklahoma through northwest Arkansas. Expect both flash flooding
and main stem river flooding concerns to increase both Friday and
Saturday. Severe weather potential will also exist Thursday and
Friday, focused across areas south and east of Interstate 44.
Large hail and damaging winds will be the main concerns, although
a limited threat for tornadoes may also exist.
Rain chances will gradually end during the daytime Sunday, with
breezy northerly winds persisting through the afternoon.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Severe weather and flooding impacts are likely to impact
parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas now through the
weekend. Multiple periods of response may be required.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
104 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-041000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
104 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
A stalled boundary across the state of Arkansas will lead to
another multi-faceted threat of severe weather. An Enhanced Risk
(level 3 out of 5) occupies a large portion of the state. All
hazards will be possible from large hail (in excess of baseball-
sized), damaging wind gusts (60+ mph), and a few tornadoes (a
couple of which may be strong).
Additionally, heavy rain will continue to fall across the state in
the same locations where 1 to 3+ inches of rainfall fell during
the day on Wednesday. Expect locations to experience flash
flooding as well as the potential for likely river flooding as
river basins continue to see more rainfall.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
A moderate risk (level 4 out of 5) for severe weather will be
present on Friday for much of the forecast area. An Enhanced Risk
(level 3 out of 5) for severe weather will be present on
Saturday. All severe weather hazards will be possible.
Additionally, rainfall totals across the state will continue to
increase and the risk for flash flooding and river flooding will
continue to increase statewide as the stalled boundary will remain
parked across Arkansas with several rounds of heavy rainfall
likely. Heed all blocked roads (by finding an alternate route) due
to high water and never attempt to drive through high water as
the power of water can easily sweep away a vehicle or hide a
compromised or missing roadway surface underneath the high water.
The latest river forecast will need to be monitor closely and
vigilantly to rapidly changing conditions given the overall steady
increase in rainfall totals across the state.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter activiation will be needed through Saturday.
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
$$
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